Chernomorets 0-1 Shinnik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 3 Nov 2024

Chernomorets
0-1 HT 0-1
Shinnik
📅03/11/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Russia - FNL – 2024/2025

Chernomorets vs Shinnik Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.92
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
24%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.51
Over 2.5
38%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.19
No
57%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
48%
-1.7pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.7pp
24%
Away Win
24%
+0.0pp
62%
Under 2.5
62%
-0.1pp
38%
Over 2.5
38%
+0.1pp
43%
BTTS Yes
42%
+1.6pp
57%
BTTS No
58%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Chernomorets v Shinnik — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chernomorets EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Shinnik EU Bookmakers 27%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +10%
1.82/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.29
+27% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -8%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
312 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.8

Chernomorets vs Shinnik Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chernomorets
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Shinnik
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
18.03.2024 Chernomorets Chernomorets 1-0 HT 0-0 Shinnik Shinnik RUS1
09.09.2023 Shinnik Shinnik 2-1 HT 1-0 Chernomorets Chernomorets RUS1
POST-MATCH Chernomorets vs Shinnik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shinnik nicked a narrow win over Chernomorets 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Chernomorets at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Chernomorets and 1.00 for Shinnik.

What was the final score of Chernomorets vs Shinnik?

Chernomorets 0-1 Shinnik in the Russia - FNL on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chernomorets vs Shinnik?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chernomorets win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Chernomorets 46%, draw 30%, Shinnik 24%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Chernomorets) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chernomorets) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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