Chernomorets 1-0 Shinnik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 18 Mar 2024

📅18/03/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.02
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
33%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.67
Over 2.5
46%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.9
No
57%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
46%
-2.0pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.4pp
33%
Away Win
27%
+5.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.4pp
43%
BTTS Yes
49%
-6.1pp
57%
BTTS No
51%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chernomorets EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Shinnik EU Bookmakers 31%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +5%
1.74/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.50
+32% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -18%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
338 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chernomorets
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Shinnik
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
67% Ball Possession 33%
18 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 1
0 Yellow Cards 1
09.09.2023 Shinnik Shinnik 2-1 HT 1-0 Chernomorets Chernomorets RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chernomorets
1-0
AWAY Shinnik
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 10
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Chernomorets vs Shinnik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chernomorets squeezed past Shinnik 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Chernomorets as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Chernomorets had 45% of the ball to Shinnik's 55%, shots finished 9-11.

What was the final score of Chernomorets vs Shinnik?

Chernomorets 1-0 Shinnik in the Russia - FNL on 18/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chernomorets vs Shinnik?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chernomorets win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Chernomorets 44%, draw 24%, Shinnik 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chernomorets), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Chernomorets) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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