Tyumen 0-1 Alaniya Vladikavkaz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 18 Mar 2024

📅18/03/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.12
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
31%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.62
Over 2.5
45%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.96
No
54%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
43%
-2.7pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.5pp
31%
Away Win
29%
+2.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
58%
-3.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
42%
+3.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.6pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tyumen EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Alaniya Vladikavkaz EU Bookmakers 32%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -10%
1.90/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.82
+44% / +41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -41%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
306 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.5 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tyumen
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Alaniya Vladikavkaz
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.09.2023 Alaniya Vladikavkaz Alaniya Vladikavkaz 1-1 HT 1-0 Tyumen Tyumen RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tyumen
0-1
AWAY Alaniya Vladikavkaz
35% Ball Possession 65%
8 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Tyumen vs Alaniya Vladikavkaz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alaniya Vladikavkaz squeezed past Tyumen 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Tyumen at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Tyumen had 35% of the ball to Alaniya Vladikavkaz's 65%, shots finished 8-10.

What was the final score of Tyumen vs Alaniya Vladikavkaz?

Tyumen 0-1 Alaniya Vladikavkaz in the Russia - FNL on 18/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tyumen vs Alaniya Vladikavkaz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tyumen win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Tyumen 41%, draw 28%, Alaniya Vladikavkaz 31%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Tyumen) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tyumen) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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