Arsenal Tula 0-0 Volgar Astrakhan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 18 Mar 2024

📅18/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.61
Draw
30%
3.54
Away
24%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.64
Over 2.5
36%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.16
No
58%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
58%
-12.0pp
30%
Draw
25%
+4.9pp
24%
Away Win
17%
+7.1pp
64%
Under 2.5
57%
+6.3pp
36%
Over 2.5
43%
-6.3pp
42%
BTTS Yes
42%
+0.2pp
58%
BTTS No
58%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arsenal Tula EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Volgar Astrakhan EU Bookmakers 20%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +9%
1.83/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.28
+8% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +46% / +26%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
338 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arsenal Tula
3W-2D-0L
AWAY Volgar Astrakhan
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
23.09.2023 Volgar Astrakhan Volgar Astrakhan 1-1 HT 1-1 Arsenal Tula Arsenal Tula RUS1
13.05.2023 Volgar Astrakhan Volgar Astrakhan 1-2 HT 1-1 Arsenal Tula Arsenal Tula RUS1
23.10.2022 Arsenal Tula Arsenal Tula 3-2 HT 2-1 Volgar Astrakhan Volgar Astrakhan RUS1
23.08.2015 Arsenal Tula Arsenal Tula 1-1 HT 1-0 Volgar Astrakhan Volgar Astrakhan RUS1
24.09.2014 Volgar Astrakhan Volgar Astrakhan 0-1 HT 0-0 Arsenal Tula Arsenal Tula RUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arsenal Tula
0-0
AWAY Volgar Astrakhan
69% Ball Possession 31%
11 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 0
7 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Arsenal Tula vs Volgar Astrakhan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arsenal Tula and Volgar Astrakhan fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Arsenal Tula at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Arsenal Tula had 69% of the ball to Volgar Astrakhan's 31%, shots finished 11-6.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Arsenal Tula had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Arsenal Tula and 1.00 for Volgar Astrakhan.

What was the final score of Arsenal Tula vs Volgar Astrakhan?

Arsenal Tula 0-0 Volgar Astrakhan in the Russia - FNL on 18/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arsenal Tula vs Volgar Astrakhan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arsenal Tula win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Arsenal Tula 46%, draw 30%, Volgar Astrakhan 24%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Arsenal Tula) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Arsenal Tula) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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