03/11/2024
·
17:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
0-0
Chayka vs Tyumen Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
14%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
💡 For the risk lovers:
Home Win
★★
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
45%
27%
Draw
28%
27%
Away Win
27%
59%
Under 2.5
59%
41%
Over 2.5
41%
41%
BTTS Yes
46%
59%
BTTS No
54%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Chayka v Tyumen — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Chayka
EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY
Tyumen
EU Bookmakers 31%
+3% /
+2%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+4% /
+13%
1.47/0.99
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.14/1.36
+14%
/
-7%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+21%
/
-12%
52%
Ball Possession
48%
12
Total Shots
10
4
Shots on Target
4
4
Corners
4
203 · 72%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
221 · 75%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
2.1
Yellow Cards
1.3
POST-MATCH
Chayka vs Tyumen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Chayka swept aside Tyumen 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Chayka as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (59%) landed while under 2.5 goals (59%) missed.
What was the final score of Chayka vs Tyumen?
Chayka 3-0 Tyumen in the Russia - FNL on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Chayka vs Tyumen?
Before kick-off our model rated a Chayka win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Chayka 46%, draw 27%, Tyumen 27%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chayka), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Chayka)
✗ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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