Chayka 3-0 Tyumen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 3 Nov 2024

📅03/11/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.05
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
27%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.6
Over 2.5
41%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.99
No
59%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
14%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
45%
+1.0pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.6pp
27%
Away Win
27%
-0.4pp
59%
Under 2.5
59%
+0.0pp
41%
Over 2.5
41%
-0.0pp
41%
BTTS Yes
46%
-5.2pp
59%
BTTS No
54%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chayka EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Tyumen EU Bookmakers 31%
+3% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +13%
1.47/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.36
+14% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -12%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
203 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 221 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.3
POST-MATCH Chayka vs Tyumen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chayka swept aside Tyumen 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Chayka as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (59%) landed while under 2.5 goals (59%) missed.

What was the final score of Chayka vs Tyumen?

Chayka 3-0 Tyumen in the Russia - FNL on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chayka vs Tyumen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chayka win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Chayka 46%, draw 27%, Tyumen 27%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chayka), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Chayka) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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