Rhode Island 1-1 Monterey Bay — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 10 May 2025

Rhode Island
1-1 HT 0-1
Monterey Bay
📅10/05/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
USL Championship – 2025

Rhode Island vs Monterey Bay Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
57%
1.47
Draw
23%
4.19
Away
20%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under
52%
2.07
Over
48%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.88
No
55%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 ✗
27%
3.74
2-3
41%
1.8
4-5
22%
3.04
6+
10%
9.94
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.74 — our 27% vs market 20.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
21%
X/2
6%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to ✓ / ✗. Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

Rhode Island v Monterey Bay — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rhode Island The Market 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Monterey Bay The Market 18%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +14%
1.50/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.56
-34% / +89% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +20%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
368 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 75%
31.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.5
23.5 Crosses 16.8
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.9

Rhode Island vs Monterey Bay Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rhode Island
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Monterey Bay
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.33 xG 1.09
55% Ball Possession 45%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
298 Passes 229
73% Pass Accuracy 68%
19 Box Touches 23
16 Crosses 19
4 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
25.03.2024 Monterey Bay Monterey Bay 2-2 HT 1-1 Rhode Island Rhode Island USLP

Rhode Island 1-1 Monterey Bay — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rhode Island
1-1
AWAY Monterey Bay
1.03 xG 0.68
61% Ball Possession 39%
12 Total Shots 6
1 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
474 Passes 290
85% Pass Accuracy 80%
33 Box Touches 8
25 Crosses 5
1 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Rhode Island vs Monterey Bay
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

a 1-1 draw left Rhode Island and Monterey Bay with a point apiece. Half-time: 0-1.

This one beat our numbers. Rhode Island carried 57% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. For what it's worth, the market was even more convinced — 1.47, about 68% — so the upset beat the price as well as us. The one blemish: no to both teams scoring (55%) never looked like landing.

Under the surface, Rhode Island had 61% of the ball to Monterey Bay's 39%, shots finished 12-6, expected goals 1.03 to 0.68.

Rhode Island vs Monterey Bay Result & Final Score

Rhode Island 1-1 Monterey Bay in the USL Championship on 10/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Rhode Island vs Monterey Bay Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Rhode Island win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Rhode Island 57%, draw 23%, Monterey Bay 20%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Rhode Island), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rhode Island) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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