North Carolina 1-0 Orange County SC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 10 May 2025

North Carolina
1-0 HT 1-0
Orange County SC
📅10/05/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
USL Championship – 2025

North Carolina vs Orange County SC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.0
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
28%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
54%
1.71
Over
46%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.88
No
54%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2.69
2-3
46%
1.73
4-5
19%
3.99
6+
7%
18.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
19%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
3%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

North Carolina v Orange County SC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME North Carolina The Market 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Orange County SC The Market 30%
-8% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +21%
1.36/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.21
-18% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +21%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
327 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 78%
19.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.9
14.5 Crosses 12.8
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.8

North Carolina vs Orange County SC Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME North Carolina
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Orange County SC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
1.20 xG 0.42
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 0
9 Corners 2
390 Passes 394
87% Pass Accuracy 84%
25 Box Touches 12
17 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
04.08.2024 Orange County SC Orange County SC 0-1 HT 0-1 North Carolina North Carolina USLP

North Carolina 1-0 Orange County SC — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME North Carolina
1-0
AWAY Orange County SC
0.84 xG 1.33
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 23
2 Shots on Target 5
0 Corners 10
318 Passes 353
82% Pass Accuracy 85%
8 Box Touches 18
10 Crosses 30
1 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW North Carolina vs Orange County SC
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

North Carolina found just enough to beat Orange County SC 1-0.

The way our numbers pointed is the way it went: our model had North Carolina as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 46% and both teams to score at 46%. If anything the market was more convinced: the BTTS-yes price stood at 1.88, roughly 53%.

By the numbers, North Carolina had 47% of the ball to Orange County SC's 53%, shots finished 7-23, expected goals 0.84 to 1.33 — the balance of chances actually favoured Orange County SC.

North Carolina vs Orange County SC Result & Final Score

North Carolina 1-0 Orange County SC in the USL Championship on 10/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

North Carolina vs Orange County SC Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a North Carolina win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split North Carolina 44%, draw 28%, Orange County SC 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (North Carolina), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (North Carolina) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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