Orange County SC 0-1 North Carolina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 4 Aug 2024

📅04/08/2024 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.67
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
35%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.74
Over 2.5
50%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.81
No
44%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.87
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
26%
4.06
6+ Goals
10%
19.05
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 4.06 — our 26% vs market 19.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
34%
+2.3pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.6pp
35%
Away Win
38%
-2.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
54%
-4.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
46%
+4.0pp
56%
BTTS Yes
51%
+4.3pp
44%
BTTS No
49%
-4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Orange County SC EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY North Carolina EU Bookmakers 42%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -24% / -24%
1.20/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.17
+2% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -39%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
288 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 79%
20.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.4
17.6 Crosses 20.3
3.1 Yellow Cards 1.4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Orange County SC
0-1
AWAY North Carolina
0.42 xG 1.20
51% Ball Possession 49%
5 Total Shots 11
0 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 9
394 Passes 390
84% Pass Accuracy 87%
12 Box Touches 25
15 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Orange County SC vs North Carolina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

North Carolina nicked a narrow win over Orange County SC 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (36% / 29% / 35%) promised a tight game; North Carolina found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Orange County SC had 51% of the ball to North Carolina's 49%, shots finished 5-11, expected goals 0.42 to 1.20.

What was the final score of Orange County SC vs North Carolina?

Orange County SC 0-1 North Carolina in the USL Championship on 04/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Orange County SC vs North Carolina?

Before kick-off our model rated a Orange County SC win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Orange County SC 36%, draw 29%, North Carolina 35%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Orange County SC) ✗ BTTS Yes
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