San Antonio 1-3 FC Tulsa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 4 Aug 2024

📅04/08/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.66
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
25%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.29
Over 2.5
51%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.6
No
52%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
4.73
2-3 Goals
37%
1.92
4-5 Goals
23%
2.84
6+ Goals
12%
7.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.73 — our 28% vs market 16.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
56%
-7.0pp
26%
Draw
23%
+3.5pp
25%
Away Win
21%
+3.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
40%
+9.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
60%
-9.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
58%
-10.5pp
52%
BTTS No
42%
+10.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME San Antonio EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Tulsa EU Bookmakers 25%
+2% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +19%
1.49/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.66
-5% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / +14%
48% Ball Possession 52%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
291 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 75%
22.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.5
20.8 Crosses 13.6
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME San Antonio
2W-1D-3L
AWAY FC Tulsa
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.54 xG 0.97
49% Ball Possession 51%
18 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
250 Passes 269
73% Pass Accuracy 72%
25 Box Touches 14
23 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 4
09.06.2024 FC Tulsa FC Tulsa 2-1 HT 0-0 San Antonio San Antonio USLP
04.09.2023 FC Tulsa FC Tulsa 2-1 HT 1-0 San Antonio San Antonio USLP
29.06.2022 San Antonio San Antonio 2-1 HT 0-1 FC Tulsa FC Tulsa USLP
17.10.2021 San Antonio San Antonio 1-1 HT 0-1 FC Tulsa FC Tulsa USLP
27.09.2020 FC Tulsa FC Tulsa 1-0 HT 0-0 San Antonio San Antonio USLP
23.08.2020 San Antonio San Antonio 2-0 HT 1-0 FC Tulsa FC Tulsa USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME San Antonio
1-3
AWAY FC Tulsa
1.52 xG 0.70
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 4
238 Passes 208
70% Pass Accuracy 67%
22 Box Touches 26
22 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH San Antonio vs FC Tulsa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Tulsa saw off San Antonio 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was San Antonio at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, San Antonio had 53% of the ball to FC Tulsa's 47%, shots finished 14-11, expected goals 1.52 to 0.70 — on chances, San Antonio could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Tulsa led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for San Antonio and 1.17 for FC Tulsa.

What was the final score of San Antonio vs FC Tulsa?

San Antonio 1-3 FC Tulsa in the USL Championship on 04/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for San Antonio vs FC Tulsa?

Before kick-off our model rated a San Antonio win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split San Antonio 49%, draw 26%, FC Tulsa 25%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (San Antonio), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (San Antonio) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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