Loudoun United 4-1 Miami FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 4 Aug 2024

📅04/08/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.47
Draw
23%
4.19
Away
17%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.15
Over 2.5
52%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.81
No
54%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.09
2-3 Goals
41%
1.85
4-5 Goals
23%
3.07
6+ Goals
12%
9.78
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
25%
X/2
5%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
64%
-3.2pp
23%
Draw
21%
+2.1pp
17%
Away Win
16%
+1.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
43%
+5.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
57%
-5.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.5pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Loudoun United EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Miami FC EU Bookmakers 19%
-22% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -2%
1.87/2.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.74
-50% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -1%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
382 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 76%
24.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.2
15.0 Crosses 13.8
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Loudoun United
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Miami FC
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.33 xG 1.40
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
324 Passes 346
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
16 Box Touches 27
10 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 3
23.06.2024 Miami FC Miami FC 2-2 HT 2-0 Loudoun United Loudoun United USLP
30.07.2023 Loudoun United Loudoun United 1-2 HT 1-2 Miami FC Miami FC USLP
18.06.2023 Miami FC Miami FC 1-2 HT 0-2 Loudoun United Loudoun United USLP
24.07.2022 Loudoun United Loudoun United 1-2 HT 1-1 Miami FC Miami FC USLP
27.03.2022 Miami FC Miami FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Loudoun United Loudoun United USLP
10.10.2021 Loudoun United Loudoun United 3-2 HT 1-1 Miami FC Miami FC USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Loudoun United
4-1
AWAY Miami FC
3.39 xG 0.77
70% Ball Possession 30%
20 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
533 Passes 190
91% Pass Accuracy 76%
44 Box Touches 8
24 Crosses 6
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Loudoun United vs Miami FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Loudoun United swept aside Miami FC 4-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Loudoun United as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Loudoun United had 70% of the ball to Miami FC's 30%, shots finished 20-5, expected goals 3.39 to 0.77.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Loudoun United and 1.50 for Miami FC.

What was the final score of Loudoun United vs Miami FC?

Loudoun United 4-1 Miami FC in the USL Championship on 04/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Loudoun United vs Miami FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Loudoun United win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Loudoun United 60%, draw 23%, Miami FC 17%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Loudoun United), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Loudoun United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
USLP More USL Championship
4 Aug 2024
02:30 Birmingham Legion vs Hartford Athletic Analysis →
03:30 Memphis 901 vs El Paso Locomotive Analysis →
04:00 Colorado Springs vs Phoenix Rising Analysis →
04:00 New Mexico United vs Louisville City Analysis →
04:00 San Antonio vs FC Tulsa Analysis →
05:00 Orange County SC vs North Carolina Analysis →