New Mexico United vs Louisville City Prediction — Model Probabilities
New Mexico United v Louisville City — Team-Based Signals
New Mexico United vs Louisville City Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
New Mexico United 0-1 Louisville City — Actual Match Statistics
Louisville City came out on the right side of a one-goal game with New Mexico United 1-0 away from home.
From a near-even 37% / 26% / 37% read, it was Louisville City who turned the coin-flip their way. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.
The match data tells the story: possession split 66% to 34% in New Mexico United's favour, shots finished 8-12, expected goals 0.48 to 2.03 — on chances created, Louisville City won this by more than the scoreboard admits.
Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.50 a game for New Mexico United against 1.50 for Louisville City.
New Mexico United vs Louisville City Result & Final Score
New Mexico United 0 - 1 Louisville City in the USL Championship on 04/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
New Mexico United vs Louisville City Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a New Mexico United win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split New Mexico United 37%, draw 26%, Louisville City 37%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.