Colorado Springs 2-0 Phoenix Rising — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 4 Aug 2024

📅04/08/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.02
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
26%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.9
Over 2.5
51%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.7
No
49%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.36
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
22%
3.52
6+ Goals
11%
13.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.36 — our 28% vs market 24.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
45%
-0.2pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.9pp
26%
Away Win
29%
-2.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
49%
+0.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
51%
-0.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
55%
-3.5pp
49%
BTTS No
45%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Colorado Springs EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Phoenix Rising EU Bookmakers 32%
+4% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -10%
1.62/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.73
+13% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -27%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
346 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 79%
20.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.8
17.4 Crosses 17.2
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Colorado Springs
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Phoenix Rising
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.52 xG 1.36
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
326 Passes 345
80% Pass Accuracy 81%
19 Box Touches 20
13 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
14.04.2024 Phoenix Rising Phoenix Rising 1-0 HT 0-0 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs USLP
15.10.2023 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs 2-0 HT 2-0 Phoenix Rising Phoenix Rising USLP
23.07.2023 Phoenix Rising Phoenix Rising 1-1 HT 0-1 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs USLP
04.09.2022 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs 1-0 HT 0-0 Phoenix Rising Phoenix Rising USLP
31.07.2022 Phoenix Rising Phoenix Rising 4-0 HT 2-0 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs USLP
01.09.2019 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs 0-3 HT 0-3 Phoenix Rising Phoenix Rising USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Colorado Springs
2-0
AWAY Phoenix Rising
2.11 xG 1.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
20 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 1
328 Passes 293
81% Pass Accuracy 80%
33 Box Touches 15
16 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Colorado Springs vs Phoenix Rising
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Colorado Springs beat Phoenix Rising 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Colorado Springs as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Colorado Springs had 53% of the ball to Phoenix Rising's 47%, shots finished 20-11, expected goals 2.11 to 1.00.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Phoenix Rising led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Colorado Springs and 1.50 for Phoenix Rising.

What was the final score of Colorado Springs vs Phoenix Rising?

Colorado Springs 2-0 Phoenix Rising in the USL Championship on 04/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Colorado Springs vs Phoenix Rising?

Before kick-off our model rated a Colorado Springs win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Colorado Springs 45%, draw 29%, Phoenix Rising 26%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Colorado Springs) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Colorado Springs) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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