Phoenix Rising 1-0 Colorado Springs — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 14 Apr 2024

📅14/04/2024 · 🕒05:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.09
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
30%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.97
Over 2.5
50%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.66
No
51%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.61
2-3 Goals
36%
1.81
4-5 Goals
25%
3.34
6+ Goals
11%
12.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.61 — our 28% vs market 22.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
44%
-0.6pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.5pp
30%
Away Win
30%
-0.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
47%
+3.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
53%
-3.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.8pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Phoenix Rising EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Colorado Springs EU Bookmakers 34%
-5% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -8%
1.61/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.60
+43% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -21%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
336 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 80%
19.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.5
15.2 Crosses 13.9
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Phoenix Rising
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Colorado Springs
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.95 xG 1.75
53% Ball Possession 47%
18 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
343 Passes 304
80% Pass Accuracy 79%
24 Box Touches 20
21 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.10.2023 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs 2-0 HT 2-0 Phoenix Rising Phoenix Rising USLP
23.07.2023 Phoenix Rising Phoenix Rising 1-1 HT 0-1 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs USLP
04.09.2022 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs 1-0 HT 0-0 Phoenix Rising Phoenix Rising USLP
31.07.2022 Phoenix Rising Phoenix Rising 4-0 HT 2-0 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs USLP
01.09.2019 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs 0-3 HT 0-3 Phoenix Rising Phoenix Rising USLP
31.03.2019 Phoenix Rising Phoenix Rising 2-2 HT 1-1 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Phoenix Rising
1-0
AWAY Colorado Springs
1.06 xG 0.20
52% Ball Possession 48%
21 Total Shots 4
8 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 3
425 Passes 356
89% Pass Accuracy 82%
16 Box Touches 10
21 Crosses 13
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Phoenix Rising vs Colorado Springs
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Phoenix Rising edged past Colorado Springs 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Phoenix Rising as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Phoenix Rising had 52% of the ball to Colorado Springs's 48%, shots finished 21-4, expected goals 1.06 to 0.20.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Phoenix Rising and 1.00 for Colorado Springs.

What was the final score of Phoenix Rising vs Colorado Springs?

Phoenix Rising 1-0 Colorado Springs in the USL Championship on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Phoenix Rising vs Colorado Springs?

Before kick-off our model rated a Phoenix Rising win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Phoenix Rising 43%, draw 27%, Colorado Springs 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Phoenix Rising), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Phoenix Rising) ✓ BTTS No
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