Indy Eleven 2-4 Charleston Battery — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 14 Apr 2024

📅14/04/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.94
Draw
34%
3.35
Away
27%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.9
Over 2.5
39%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
1.7
No
62%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
38%
3.35
2-3 Goals
38%
1.79
4-5 Goals
19%
3.52
6+ Goals
5%
13.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.35 — our 38% vs market 24.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
12%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
19%
2/1
4%
2/2
14%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
30%
+8.6pp
35%
Draw
26%
+8.2pp
27%
Away Win
43%
-16.8pp
61%
Under 2.5
49%
+12.1pp
39%
Over 2.5
51%
-12.1pp
38%
BTTS Yes
55%
-16.7pp
62%
BTTS No
45%
+16.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Indy Eleven EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Charleston Battery EU Bookmakers 48%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
1.04/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.27
-12% / +46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -28%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
287 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 378 · 78%
19.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.9
16.3 Crosses 17.9
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Indy Eleven
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Charleston Battery
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.76 xG 1.56
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
369 Passes 334
81% Pass Accuracy 81%
18 Box Touches 19
14 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.10.2023 Charleston Battery Charleston Battery 5-0 HT 3-0 Indy Eleven Indy Eleven USLP
13.07.2023 Indy Eleven Indy Eleven 1-1 HT 0-0 Charleston Battery Charleston Battery USLP
03.06.2023 Charleston Battery Charleston Battery 0-4 HT 0-1 Indy Eleven Indy Eleven USLP
09.10.2022 Indy Eleven Indy Eleven 4-1 HT 1-1 Charleston Battery Charleston Battery USLP
05.06.2022 Charleston Battery Charleston Battery 3-4 HT 1-4 Indy Eleven Indy Eleven USLP
09.09.2019 Charleston Battery Charleston Battery 1-0 HT 1-0 Indy Eleven Indy Eleven USLP
POST-MATCH Indy Eleven vs Charleston Battery
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Charleston Battery beat Indy Eleven 4-2 away from home. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 35% / 27% — and on the day Charleston Battery made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Indy Eleven had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Indy Eleven and 1.83 for Charleston Battery.

What was the final score of Indy Eleven vs Charleston Battery?

Indy Eleven 2-4 Charleston Battery in the USL Championship on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Indy Eleven vs Charleston Battery?

Before kick-off our model rated a Indy Eleven win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Indy Eleven 39%, draw 35%, Charleston Battery 27%. The final score 2-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Indy Eleven) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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