Sacramento Republic 1-1 FC Tulsa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 14 Apr 2024

Sacramento Republic
1-1 HT 1-0
FC Tulsa
📅14/04/2024 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
USL Championship – 2024

Sacramento Republic vs FC Tulsa Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.61
Draw
28%
3.8
Away
27%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.97
Over 2.5
47%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.59
2-3 Goals
38%
1.81
4-5 Goals
24%
3.34
6+ Goals
10%
12.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.59 — our 28% vs market 22.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
58%
-12.4pp
28%
Draw
23%
+4.8pp
27%
Away Win
19%
+7.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
47%
+6.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
53%
-6.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.6pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sacramento Republic v FC Tulsa — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sacramento Republic EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Tulsa EU Bookmakers 22%
-3% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +29%
1.48/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.63
-19% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / +19%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
360 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 76%
21.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.0
21.4 Crosses 12.8
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.8

Sacramento Republic vs FC Tulsa Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sacramento Republic
4W-2D-0L
AWAY FC Tulsa
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.01 xG 0.91
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
314 Passes 310
77% Pass Accuracy 77%
23 Box Touches 16
17 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
30.04.2023 FC Tulsa FC Tulsa 1-1 HT 0-0 Sacramento Republic Sacramento Republic USLP
28.03.2022 Sacramento Republic Sacramento Republic 2-1 HT 1-1 FC Tulsa FC Tulsa USLP
08.03.2020 Sacramento Republic Sacramento Republic 1-1 HT 1-0 FC Tulsa FC Tulsa USLP
06.10.2019 FC Tulsa FC Tulsa 2-3 HT 2-2 Sacramento Republic Sacramento Republic USLP
23.06.2019 Sacramento Republic Sacramento Republic 6-0 HT 2-0 FC Tulsa FC Tulsa USLP
20.09.2018 FC Tulsa FC Tulsa 1-4 HT 0-1 Sacramento Republic Sacramento Republic USLP

Sacramento Republic 1-1 FC Tulsa — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sacramento Republic
1-1
AWAY FC Tulsa
1.87 xG 0.14
74% Ball Possession 26%
26 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 2
13 Corners 6
539 Passes 127
85% Pass Accuracy 56%
43 Box Touches 9
39 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 5
FAQ Sacramento Republic vs FC Tulsa
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Sacramento Republic and FC Tulsa shared the points in a 1-1 draw in the USL Championship on 14 Apr 2024. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Sacramento Republic had 74% of the ball to FC Tulsa's 26%, shots finished 26-5, expected goals 1.87 to 0.14.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sacramento Republic have the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Sacramento Republic and 1.00 for FC Tulsa.

What was the final score of Sacramento Republic vs FC Tulsa?

Sacramento Republic 1-1 FC Tulsa in the USL Championship on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sacramento Republic vs FC Tulsa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sacramento Republic win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Sacramento Republic 45%, draw 28%, FC Tulsa 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Sacramento Republic) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sacramento Republic) ✓ Under 2.5
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