Monterey Bay 3-1 Las Vegas Lights — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 14 Apr 2024

📅14/04/2024 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.89
Draw
32%
3.45
Away
27%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.86
Over 2.5
41%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.76
No
53%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.27
2-3 Goals
45%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
3.6
6+ Goals
6%
14.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.27 — our 31% vs market 25.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
20%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
49%
-8.3pp
32%
Draw
26%
+6.3pp
27%
Away Win
25%
+2.0pp
59%
Under 2.5
50%
+9.4pp
41%
Over 2.5
50%
-9.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.9pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Monterey Bay EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Las Vegas Lights EU Bookmakers 29%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -11%
1.33/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.73
+0% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -26%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
332 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 77%
23.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.5
19.6 Crosses 15.0
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Monterey Bay
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Las Vegas Lights
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
1.00 xG 1.01
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
269 Passes 289
72% Pass Accuracy 77%
19 Box Touches 19
17 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.09.2023 Monterey Bay Monterey Bay 3-2 HT 1-2 Las Vegas Lights Las Vegas Lights USLP
11.06.2023 Las Vegas Lights Las Vegas Lights 1-2 HT 0-1 Monterey Bay Monterey Bay USLP
28.09.2022 Las Vegas Lights Las Vegas Lights 4-0 HT 2-0 Monterey Bay Monterey Bay USLP
08.05.2022 Monterey Bay Monterey Bay 1-0 HT 0-0 Las Vegas Lights Las Vegas Lights USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Monterey Bay
3-1
AWAY Las Vegas Lights
2.48 xG 0.72
46% Ball Possession 54%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
350 Passes 457
78% Pass Accuracy 86%
26 Box Touches 21
16 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 2
FAQ Monterey Bay vs Las Vegas Lights
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Monterey Bay beat Las Vegas Lights 3-1 in the USL Championship on 14 Apr 2024. Half-time: 2-1.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 41% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Monterey Bay had 46% of the ball to Las Vegas Lights's 54%, shots finished 15-12, expected goals 2.48 to 0.72.

Across their last 4 meetings in our records, Monterey Bay have the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Monterey Bay and 1.75 for Las Vegas Lights.

What was the final score of Monterey Bay vs Las Vegas Lights?

Monterey Bay 3-1 Las Vegas Lights in the USL Championship on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Monterey Bay vs Las Vegas Lights?

Before kick-off our model rated a Monterey Bay win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Monterey Bay 41%, draw 32%, Las Vegas Lights 27%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Monterey Bay) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Monterey Bay) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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