El Paso Locomotive 2-3 Oakland Roots — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 14 Apr 2024

📅14/04/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.82
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
33%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.95
Over 2.5
51%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.73
No
48%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.53
2-3 Goals
38%
1.8
4-5 Goals
23%
3.39
6+ Goals
12%
12.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.53 — our 27% vs market 23.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
11%
X/2
15%
X/X
10%
2/1
12%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
51%
-9.7pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.2pp
33%
Away Win
24%
+8.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
54%
-2.0pp
48%
BTTS No
46%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME El Paso Locomotive EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Oakland Roots EU Bookmakers 28%
-2% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +24%
1.39/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.36
-9% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / +14%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
337 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 77%
22.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.3
18.6 Crosses 14.2
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME El Paso Locomotive
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Oakland Roots
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.00 xG 1.88
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
384 Passes 288
83% Pass Accuracy 78%
21 Box Touches 25
15 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
15.10.2023 Oakland Roots Oakland Roots 1-2 HT 0-2 El Paso Locomotive El Paso Locomotive USLP
23.07.2023 El Paso Locomotive El Paso Locomotive 1-3 HT 0-0 Oakland Roots Oakland Roots USLP
17.07.2022 Oakland Roots Oakland Roots 4-0 HT 4-0 El Paso Locomotive El Paso Locomotive USLP
24.04.2022 El Paso Locomotive El Paso Locomotive 1-1 HT 1-1 Oakland Roots Oakland Roots USLP
06.11.2021 El Paso Locomotive El Paso Locomotive 0-1 HT 0-0 Oakland Roots Oakland Roots USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME El Paso Locomotive
2-3
AWAY Oakland Roots
1.14 xG 1.49
58% Ball Possession 42%
5 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
438 Passes 274
85% Pass Accuracy 75%
9 Box Touches 16
15 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 0
FAQ El Paso Locomotive vs Oakland Roots
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Oakland Roots edged past El Paso Locomotive 3-2 away from home in the USL Championship on 14 Apr 2024. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, El Paso Locomotive had 58% of the ball to Oakland Roots's 42%, shots finished 5-7, expected goals 1.14 to 1.49.

Across their last 5 meetings in our records, Oakland Roots lead the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for El Paso Locomotive and 2.00 for Oakland Roots.

What was the final score of El Paso Locomotive vs Oakland Roots?

El Paso Locomotive 2-3 Oakland Roots in the USL Championship on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for El Paso Locomotive vs Oakland Roots?

Before kick-off our model rated a El Paso Locomotive win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split El Paso Locomotive 41%, draw 26%, Oakland Roots 33%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (El Paso Locomotive) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (El Paso Locomotive) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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