Birmingham Legion 2-2 Hartford Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 4 Aug 2024

📅04/08/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.61
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
24%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.1
Over 2.5
45%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.7
No
54%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
4.07
2-3 Goals
39%
1.85
4-5 Goals
23%
3.08
6+ Goals
9%
9.82
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.07 — our 29% vs market 19.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
58%
-8.0pp
26%
Draw
22%
+3.7pp
24%
Away Win
20%
+4.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
44%
+10.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
56%
-10.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
55%
-9.1pp
54%
BTTS No
45%
+9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Birmingham Legion EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Hartford Athletic EU Bookmakers 23%
+3% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +4%
1.63/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.84
-1% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -21%
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
316 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 76%
26.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
16.1 Crosses 16.4
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Birmingham Legion
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Hartford Athletic
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.41 xG 2.07
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
325 Passes 335
80% Pass Accuracy 79%
27 Box Touches 25
20 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.03.2024 Hartford Athletic Hartford Athletic 1-0 HT 1-0 Birmingham Legion Birmingham Legion USLP
01.05.2023 Birmingham Legion Birmingham Legion 3-2 HT 0-1 Hartford Athletic Hartford Athletic USLP
25.03.2023 Hartford Athletic Hartford Athletic 0-1 HT 0-1 Birmingham Legion Birmingham Legion USLP
31.07.2022 Hartford Athletic Hartford Athletic 0-1 HT 0-0 Birmingham Legion Birmingham Legion USLP
11.04.2022 Birmingham Legion Birmingham Legion 2-1 HT 1-1 Hartford Athletic Hartford Athletic USLP
10.10.2019 Hartford Athletic Hartford Athletic 4-0 HT 0-0 Birmingham Legion Birmingham Legion USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Birmingham Legion
2-2
AWAY Hartford Athletic
1.58 xG 1.71
47% Ball Possession 53%
15 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
350 Passes 413
82% Pass Accuracy 85%
18 Box Touches 15
18 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 0
FAQ Birmingham Legion vs Hartford Athletic
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Birmingham Legion and Hartford Athletic shared the points in a 2-2 draw in the USL Championship on 4 Aug 2024. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 45% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Birmingham Legion had 47% of the ball to Hartford Athletic's 53%, shots finished 15-11, expected goals 1.58 to 1.71.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Birmingham Legion have the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Birmingham Legion and 1.33 for Hartford Athletic.

What was the final score of Birmingham Legion vs Hartford Athletic?

Birmingham Legion 2-2 Hartford Athletic in the USL Championship on 04/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Birmingham Legion vs Hartford Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Birmingham Legion win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Birmingham Legion 50%, draw 26%, Hartford Athletic 24%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Birmingham Legion) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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