FC Tulsa 2-1 San Antonio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 9 Jun 2024

📅09/06/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.46
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
40%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.0
Over 2.5
52%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.63
No
48%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.7
2-3 Goals
39%
1.82
4-5 Goals
24%
3.28
6+ Goals
12%
11.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
37%
-3.2pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.3pp
39%
Away Win
37%
+2.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
46%
+1.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
54%
-1.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
57%
-4.7pp
48%
BTTS No
43%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Tulsa EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY San Antonio EU Bookmakers 40%
-2% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +26%
1.56/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/1.25
+12% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +52% / +17%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
327 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 76%
20.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.1
15.2 Crosses 18.0
3.1 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Tulsa
2W-2D-2L
AWAY San Antonio
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.88 xG 1.52
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
284 Passes 259
75% Pass Accuracy 74%
14 Box Touches 24
19 Crosses 21
4 Yellow Cards 1
04.09.2023 FC Tulsa FC Tulsa 2-1 HT 1-0 San Antonio San Antonio USLP
29.06.2022 San Antonio San Antonio 2-1 HT 0-1 FC Tulsa FC Tulsa USLP
17.10.2021 San Antonio San Antonio 1-1 HT 0-1 FC Tulsa FC Tulsa USLP
27.09.2020 FC Tulsa FC Tulsa 1-0 HT 0-0 San Antonio San Antonio USLP
23.08.2020 San Antonio San Antonio 2-0 HT 1-0 FC Tulsa FC Tulsa USLP
13.08.2020 FC Tulsa FC Tulsa 0-0 HT 0-0 San Antonio San Antonio USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Tulsa
2-1
AWAY San Antonio
1.09 xG 0.70
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 9
184 Passes 207
62% Pass Accuracy 66%
14 Box Touches 22
10 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH FC Tulsa vs San Antonio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Tulsa nicked a narrow win over San Antonio 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (34% / 26% / 39%) promised a tight game; FC Tulsa found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, FC Tulsa had 47% of the ball to San Antonio's 53%, shots finished 10-18, expected goals 1.09 to 0.70.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for FC Tulsa and 1.00 for San Antonio.

What was the final score of FC Tulsa vs San Antonio?

FC Tulsa 2-1 San Antonio in the USL Championship on 09/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Tulsa vs San Antonio?

Before kick-off our model rated an San Antonio win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split FC Tulsa 34%, draw 26%, San Antonio 39%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (San Antonio) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (San Antonio) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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