Oakland Roots 1-0 Tampa Bay Rowdies — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 9 Jun 2024

📅09/06/2024 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.46
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
45%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.95
Over 2.5
51%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.7
No
51%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.55
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals
21%
3.37
6+ Goals
10%
12.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.55 — our 28% vs market 22.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
11%
X/1
10%
X/2
23%
X/X
6%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
26%
+6.2pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.2pp
46%
Away Win
50%
-4.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
55%
-5.4pp
51%
BTTS No
45%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Oakland Roots EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Tampa Bay Rowdies EU Bookmakers 54%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +13%
1.27/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.65/1.28
-27% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +12%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
301 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 76%
20.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.4
16.2 Crosses 16.7
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Oakland Roots
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Tampa Bay Rowdies
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.01 xG 1.59
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
411 Passes 324
81% Pass Accuracy 79%
22 Box Touches 19
11 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
09.07.2023 Tampa Bay Rowdies Tampa Bay Rowdies 3-0 HT 2-0 Oakland Roots Oakland Roots USLP
03.04.2022 Oakland Roots Oakland Roots 0-0 HT 0-0 Tampa Bay Rowdies Tampa Bay Rowdies USLP
04.09.2021 Tampa Bay Rowdies Tampa Bay Rowdies 3-0 HT 2-0 Oakland Roots Oakland Roots USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Oakland Roots
1-0
AWAY Tampa Bay Rowdies
1.82 xG 1.40
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
285 Passes 342
78% Pass Accuracy 79%
19 Box Touches 23
16 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Oakland Roots vs Tampa Bay Rowdies
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Oakland Roots squeezed past Tampa Bay Rowdies 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Tampa Bay Rowdies at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Oakland Roots had 46% of the ball to Tampa Bay Rowdies's 54%, shots finished 13-15, expected goals 1.82 to 1.40.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Tampa Bay Rowdies led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Oakland Roots and 2.00 for Tampa Bay Rowdies.

What was the final score of Oakland Roots vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?

Oakland Roots 1-0 Tampa Bay Rowdies in the USL Championship on 09/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Oakland Roots vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?

Before kick-off our model rated an Tampa Bay Rowdies win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Oakland Roots 32%, draw 23%, Tampa Bay Rowdies 46%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Tampa Bay Rowdies), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tampa Bay Rowdies) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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