New Mexico United vs Hartford Athletic Prediction — Model Probabilities
New Mexico United v Hartford Athletic — Team-Based Signals
New Mexico United vs Hartford Athletic Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
New Mexico United 1-0 Hartford Athletic — Actual Match Statistics
New Mexico United found just enough to beat Hartford Athletic 1-0. It stood 0-0 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.
As we said in the preview, our model had New Mexico United as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The one blemish: over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (56%) never looked like landing.
Under the surface, New Mexico United had 62% of the ball to Hartford Athletic's 38%, shots finished 15-7, expected goals 1.06 to 0.24.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Hartford Athletic led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for New Mexico United and 2.00 for Hartford Athletic.
New Mexico United vs Hartford Athletic Result & Final Score
New Mexico United 1 - 0 Hartford Athletic in the USL Championship on 09/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
New Mexico United vs Hartford Athletic Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a New Mexico United win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split New Mexico United 61%, draw 22%, Hartford Athletic 17%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (New Mexico United) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.