New Mexico United vs Hartford Athletic Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
New Mexico United v Hartford Athletic — Team-Based Signals
New Mexico United vs Hartford Athletic Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
2-1
HT 0-1
New Mexico United
USLP
2-2
HT 1-1
Hartford Athletic
USLP
New Mexico United 1-0 Hartford Athletic — Actual Match Statistics
New Mexico United edged past Hartford Athletic 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had New Mexico United as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, New Mexico United had 62% of the ball to Hartford Athletic's 38%, shots finished 15-7, expected goals 1.06 to 0.24.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Hartford Athletic led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for New Mexico United and 2.00 for Hartford Athletic.
What was the final score of New Mexico United vs Hartford Athletic?
New Mexico United 1-0 Hartford Athletic in the USL Championship on 09/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for New Mexico United vs Hartford Athletic?
Before kick-off our model rated a New Mexico United win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split New Mexico United 48%, draw 28%, Hartford Athletic 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (New Mexico United) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.