Zbrojovka Brno 1-0 Graffin Vlasim — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - FNL, 10 May 2026

📅10/05/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.47
Draw
24%
4.19
Away
18%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.15
Over 2.5
49%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.81
No
48%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
4%
X/X
13%
2/1
12%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
64%
-5.2pp
23%
Draw
21%
+2.8pp
18%
Away Win
16%
+2.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
43%
+8.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
57%
-8.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.0pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zbrojovka Brno EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Graffin Vlasim EU Bookmakers 19%
-7% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +0%
1.91/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.81
+3% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -9%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
406 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zbrojovka Brno
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Graffin Vlasim
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.10.2025 Graffin Vlasim Graffin Vlasim 0-1 HT 0-0 Zbrojovka Brno Zbrojovka Brno ÇEK2
02.05.2025 Graffin Vlasim Graffin Vlasim 1-2 HT 1-1 Zbrojovka Brno Zbrojovka Brno ÇEK2
05.10.2024 Zbrojovka Brno Zbrojovka Brno 2-2 HT 1-0 Graffin Vlasim Graffin Vlasim ÇEK2
24.07.2023 Zbrojovka Brno Zbrojovka Brno 1-1 HT 0-0 Graffin Vlasim Graffin Vlasim ÇEK2
01.05.2022 Graffin Vlasim Graffin Vlasim 1-2 HT 1-1 Zbrojovka Brno Zbrojovka Brno ÇEK2
29.10.2021 Zbrojovka Brno Zbrojovka Brno 2-1 HT 1-1 Graffin Vlasim Graffin Vlasim ÇEK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zbrojovka Brno
1-0
AWAY Graffin Vlasim
60% Ball Possession 40%
11 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 0
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Zbrojovka Brno vs Graffin Vlasim
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zbrojovka Brno nicked a narrow win over Graffin Vlasim 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Zbrojovka Brno as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Zbrojovka Brno had 60% of the ball to Graffin Vlasim's 40%, shots finished 11-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zbrojovka Brno had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Zbrojovka Brno and 1.00 for Graffin Vlasim.

What was the final score of Zbrojovka Brno vs Graffin Vlasim?

Zbrojovka Brno 1-0 Graffin Vlasim in the Czech Republic - FNL on 10/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zbrojovka Brno vs Graffin Vlasim?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zbrojovka Brno win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Zbrojovka Brno 58%, draw 23%, Graffin Vlasim 18%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zbrojovka Brno), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Zbrojovka Brno) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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