Leganes 1-2 Racing Santander — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 10 May 2026

📅10/05/2026 · 🕒17:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.67
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
42%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.29
Over 2.5
54%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.49
No
47%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.57
2-3 Goals
42%
1.88
4-5 Goals
22%
2.74
6+ Goals
12%
7.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
4.08
1/2
9%
22.25
1/X
6%
12.55
X/1
14%
6.57
X/2
14%
5.45
X/X
9%
5.54
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
26.0
2/2
19%
3.05
2/X
8%
12.25
Value flag · 2/1 at 26.0 — our 9% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
34%
+1.6pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.4pp
42%
Away Win
41%
+0.8pp
46%
Under 2.5
40%
+6.2pp
54%
Over 2.5
60%
-6.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
63%
-10.6pp
47%
BTTS No
37%
+10.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leganes EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Racing Santander EU Bookmakers 45%
-6% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +24% / +24%
1.24/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/1.82
-36% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +55% / -13%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
246 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 80%
20.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.3
19.5 Crosses 10.9
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leganes
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Racing Santander
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.41 xG 1.19
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
354 Passes 277
81% Pass Accuracy 74%
19 Box Touches 22
19 Crosses 15
4 Yellow Cards 2
13.12.2025 Racing Santander Racing Santander 1-1 HT 0-0 Leganes Leganes İS2
24.02.2024 Racing Santander Racing Santander 2-1 HT 1-1 Leganes Leganes İS2
29.09.2023 Leganes Leganes 2-1 HT 1-0 Racing Santander Racing Santander İS2
13.02.2023 Racing Santander Racing Santander 2-1 HT 1-0 Leganes Leganes İS2
29.10.2022 Leganes Leganes 0-0 HT 0-0 Racing Santander Racing Santander İS2
21.02.2015 Racing Santander Racing Santander 1-2 HT 1-1 Leganes Leganes İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leganes
1-2
AWAY Racing Santander
1.72 xG 1.37
59% Ball Possession 41%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
308 Passes 196
80% Pass Accuracy 70%
19 Box Touches 13
26 Crosses 6
6 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Leganes vs Racing Santander
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Racing Santander edged past Leganes 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Racing Santander as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Leganes had 59% of the ball to Racing Santander's 41%, shots finished 10-13, expected goals 1.72 to 1.37.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Leganes and 1.17 for Racing Santander.

What was the final score of Leganes vs Racing Santander?

Leganes 1-2 Racing Santander in the Spain - 2nd Division on 10/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leganes vs Racing Santander?

Before kick-off our model rated an Racing Santander win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Leganes 35%, draw 23%, Racing Santander 42%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Racing Santander), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Racing Santander) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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