Racing Santander 1-1 Leganes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 13 Dec 2025

Racing Santander
1-1 HT 0-0
Leganes
📅13/12/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Spain - 2nd Division – 2025/2026

Racing Santander vs Leganes Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.64
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
22%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.07
Over 2.5
52%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.73
No
45%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.88
2-3 Goals
40%
1.84
4-5 Goals
25%
3.08
6+ Goals
10%
9.99
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
2.09
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
6%
14.9
X/1
16%
4.24
X/2
11%
10.1
X/X
10%
5.85
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
21.55
2/2
5%
7.84
2/X
6%
16.5
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.55 — our 8% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
57%
-1.8pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.2pp
22%
Away Win
20%
+1.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
54%
+0.9pp
45%
BTTS No
46%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Racing Santander v Leganes — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Racing Santander EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Leganes EU Bookmakers 23%
-1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +15%
1.71/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.14
+11% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +48%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
347 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 76%
27.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.6
17.8 Crosses 14.5
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.9

Racing Santander vs Leganes Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Racing Santander
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Leganes
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.10 xG 1.12
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
253 Passes 339
70% Pass Accuracy 78%
20 Box Touches 20
15 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
24.02.2024 Racing Santander Racing Santander 2-1 HT 1-1 Leganes Leganes İS2
29.09.2023 Leganes Leganes 2-1 HT 1-0 Racing Santander Racing Santander İS2
13.02.2023 Racing Santander Racing Santander 2-1 HT 1-0 Leganes Leganes İS2
29.10.2022 Leganes Leganes 0-0 HT 0-0 Racing Santander Racing Santander İS2
21.02.2015 Racing Santander Racing Santander 1-2 HT 1-1 Leganes Leganes İS2
21.09.2014 Leganes Leganes 2-2 HT 0-2 Racing Santander Racing Santander İS2

Racing Santander 1-1 Leganes — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Racing Santander
1-1
AWAY Leganes
1.54 xG 2.56
45% Ball Possession 55%
17 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 7
299 Passes 380
80% Pass Accuracy 85%
31 Box Touches 15
12 Crosses 21
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Racing Santander vs Leganes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Racing Santander and Leganes couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

This one beat our numbers. Racing Santander carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Racing Santander had 45% of the ball to Leganes's 55%, shots finished 17-15, expected goals 1.54 to 2.56.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Racing Santander and 1.33 for Leganes.

What was the final score of Racing Santander vs Leganes?

Racing Santander 1-1 Leganes in the Spain - 2nd Division on 13/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Racing Santander vs Leganes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Racing Santander win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Racing Santander 55%, draw 23%, Leganes 22%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Racing Santander), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Racing Santander) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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