Sporting Gijon 1-0 Granada — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 13 Dec 2025

📅13/12/2025 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.18
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
25%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.6
Over 2.5
48%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.95
No
50%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.51
2-3 Goals
39%
1.76
4-5 Goals
20%
4.55
6+ Goals
9%
24.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
3.2
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
7%
13.25
X/1
11%
4.93
X/2
10%
6.9
X/X
11%
3.88
2/1
9%
31.0
2/2
9%
5.42
2/X
8%
13.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
42%
+5.7pp
26%
Draw
30%
-3.3pp
25%
Away Win
28%
-2.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
59%
-6.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
41%
+6.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.9pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting Gijon EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Granada EU Bookmakers 31%
+5% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.28/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.36
+10% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -14%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
336 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 78%
20.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.3
19.1 Crosses 16.4
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting Gijon
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Granada
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.96 xG 1.60
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
269 Passes 378
73% Pass Accuracy 80%
14 Box Touches 24
16 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
26.01.2025 Granada Granada 3-1 HT 1-0 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon İS2
16.11.2024 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon 1-2 HT 0-0 Granada Granada İS2
02.04.2023 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon 1-0 HT 1-0 Granada Granada İS2
13.10.2022 Granada Granada 5-0 HT 2-0 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon İS2
12.04.2019 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon 1-0 HT 1-0 Granada Granada İS2
23.11.2018 Granada Granada 1-2 HT 0-1 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting Gijon
1-0
AWAY Granada
0.95 xG 0.54
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 1
309 Passes 276
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
24 Box Touches 14
14 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sporting Gijon vs Granada
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting Gijon edged past Granada 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Sporting Gijon as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Sporting Gijon had 53% of the ball to Granada's 47%, shots finished 15-7, expected goals 0.95 to 0.54.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sporting Gijon and 1.83 for Granada.

What was the final score of Sporting Gijon vs Granada?

Sporting Gijon 1-0 Granada in the Spain - 2nd Division on 13/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting Gijon vs Granada?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting Gijon win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Sporting Gijon 48%, draw 26%, Granada 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting Gijon), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sporting Gijon) ✓ Under 2.5
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