Granada 3-1 Sporting Gijon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 26 Jan 2025

📅26/01/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.25
Draw
28%
2.88
Away
27%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.54
Over 2.5
45%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.99
No
53%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.31
2-3 Goals
41%
1.75
4-5 Goals
18%
4.86
6+ Goals
11%
28.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
3.41
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.25
X/1
10%
4.98
X/2
11%
6.42
X/X
14%
3.64
2/1
9%
32.5
2/2
8%
5.06
2/X
7%
13.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
40%
+4.4pp
28%
Draw
31%
-2.4pp
27%
Away Win
29%
-2.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
61%
-6.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
39%
+6.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
46%
+1.1pp
53%
BTTS No
54%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Granada EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting Gijon EU Bookmakers 32%
+12% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +9%
1.55/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.21
+14% / +64% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +18%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
284 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 77%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.4
22.8 Crosses 17.9
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Granada
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Sporting Gijon
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.29 xG 0.91
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
415 Passes 260
82% Pass Accuracy 72%
21 Box Touches 15
22 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.11.2024 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon 1-2 HT 0-0 Granada Granada İS2
02.04.2023 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon 1-0 HT 1-0 Granada Granada İS2
13.10.2022 Granada Granada 5-0 HT 2-0 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon İS2
12.04.2019 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon 1-0 HT 1-0 Granada Granada İS2
23.11.2018 Granada Granada 1-2 HT 0-1 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon İS2
27.05.2018 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon 2-1 HT 1-0 Granada Granada İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Granada
3-1
AWAY Sporting Gijon
3.16 xG 1.20
36% Ball Possession 64%
18 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 3
190 Passes 390
75% Pass Accuracy 84%
22 Box Touches 12
20 Crosses 13
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Granada vs Sporting Gijon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Granada beat Sporting Gijon 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Granada as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Granada had 36% of the ball to Sporting Gijon's 64%, shots finished 18-7, expected goals 3.16 to 1.20.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting Gijon led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Granada and 1.17 for Sporting Gijon.

What was the final score of Granada vs Sporting Gijon?

Granada 3-1 Sporting Gijon in the Spain - 2nd Division on 26/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Granada vs Sporting Gijon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Granada win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Granada 45%, draw 28%, Sporting Gijon 27%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Granada) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Granada) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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