Malaga 1-2 Real Zaragoza — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 26 Jan 2025

📅26/01/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.38
Draw
30%
2.83
Away
34%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.48
Over 2.5
36%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.13
No
61%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2.1
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
16%
5.58
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
3.7
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.9
X/1
19%
5.05
X/2
18%
6.02
X/X
14%
3.43
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
11%
4.86
2/X
9%
14.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
38%
-2.3pp
30%
Draw
32%
-2.3pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+4.6pp
64%
Under 2.5
64%
+0.3pp
36%
Over 2.5
36%
-0.3pp
39%
BTTS Yes
43%
-3.4pp
61%
BTTS No
57%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Malaga EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Zaragoza EU Bookmakers 33%
-2% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +8%
1.19/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.15
-23% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +3%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
330 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 78%
19.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
21.1 Crosses 16.7
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Malaga
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Real Zaragoza
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.90 xG 1.47
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
251 Passes 382
73% Pass Accuracy 82%
14 Box Touches 22
20 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.11.2024 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza 0-0 HT 0-0 Malaga Malaga İS2
20.02.2023 Malaga Malaga 3-0 HT 0-0 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza İS2
19.11.2022 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza 1-1 HT 0-0 Malaga Malaga İS2
05.02.2022 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza 1-1 HT 0-1 Malaga Malaga İS2
16.10.2021 Malaga Malaga 1-1 HT 1-1 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza İS2
07.02.2021 Malaga Malaga 1-2 HT 0-2 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Malaga
1-2
AWAY Real Zaragoza
1.58 xG 1.51
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 8
255 Passes 236
74% Pass Accuracy 74%
30 Box Touches 14
16 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Malaga vs Real Zaragoza
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Zaragoza squeezed past Malaga 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 30% / 34%) promised a tight game; Real Zaragoza found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Malaga had 51% of the ball to Real Zaragoza's 49%, shots finished 12-11, expected goals 1.58 to 1.51.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Malaga and 0.83 for Real Zaragoza.

What was the final score of Malaga vs Real Zaragoza?

Malaga 1-2 Real Zaragoza in the Spain - 2nd Division on 26/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Malaga vs Real Zaragoza?

Before kick-off our model rated a Malaga win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Malaga 36%, draw 30%, Real Zaragoza 34%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Malaga) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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