Sporting Gijon 1-2 Granada — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 16 Nov 2024

📅16/11/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.0
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
29%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.62
Over 2.5
46%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.96
No
52%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.56
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
22%
4.73
6+ Goals
10%
26.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.92
1/2
10%
34.5
1/X
11%
14.5
X/1
12%
4.34
X/2
10%
7.05
X/X
12%
4.05
2/1
7%
29.5
2/2
9%
5.78
2/X
6%
15.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
46%
-4.4pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.3pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+3.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
58%
-4.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
42%
+4.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.9pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting Gijon EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Granada EU Bookmakers 29%
+1% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +4%
1.31/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.36
+11% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -13%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
322 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 77%
23.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.8
21.3 Crosses 17.2
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting Gijon
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Granada
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.06 xG 1.40
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
243 Passes 410
71% Pass Accuracy 81%
14 Box Touches 23
15 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 2
02.04.2023 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon 1-0 HT 1-0 Granada Granada İS2
13.10.2022 Granada Granada 5-0 HT 2-0 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon İS2
12.04.2019 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon 1-0 HT 1-0 Granada Granada İS2
23.11.2018 Granada Granada 1-2 HT 0-1 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon İS2
27.05.2018 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon 2-1 HT 1-0 Granada Granada İS2
20.12.2017 Granada Granada 2-1 HT 0-0 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting Gijon
1-2
AWAY Granada
0.30 xG 0.85
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 0
402 Passes 344
79% Pass Accuracy 76%
19 Box Touches 12
25 Crosses 7
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sporting Gijon vs Granada
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Granada squeezed past Sporting Gijon 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Sporting Gijon at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Sporting Gijon had 54% of the ball to Granada's 46%, shots finished 9-9, expected goals 0.30 to 0.85.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting Gijon had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Sporting Gijon and 1.50 for Granada.

What was the final score of Sporting Gijon vs Granada?

Sporting Gijon 1-2 Granada in the Spain - 2nd Division on 16/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting Gijon vs Granada?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting Gijon win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Sporting Gijon 42%, draw 29%, Granada 29%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sporting Gijon) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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