Eibar 2-0 Racing Ferrol — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 16 Nov 2024

📅16/11/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.86
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
25%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.45
Over 2.5
33%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.33
No
62%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2.11
2-3 Goals
37%
1.85
4-5 Goals
16%
6.21
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.61
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
5%
16.4
X/1
17%
3.84
X/2
9%
8.57
X/X
15%
3.61
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
11%
7.94
2/X
10%
17.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
50%
-5.5pp
31%
Draw
29%
+1.8pp
25%
Away Win
21%
+3.7pp
67%
Under 2.5
65%
+2.0pp
33%
Over 2.5
35%
-2.0pp
38%
BTTS Yes
39%
-0.8pp
62%
BTTS No
61%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eibar EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Racing Ferrol EU Bookmakers 24%
+4% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -4%
1.30/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.33
+4% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -5%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
380 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 74%
21.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.7
22.3 Crosses 20.7
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eibar
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Racing Ferrol
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.93 xG 0.76
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
374 Passes 352
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
17 Box Touches 14
14 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 4
04.02.2024 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol 1-1 HT 0-0 Eibar Eibar İS2
17.09.2023 Eibar Eibar 2-0 HT 1-0 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol İS2
27.01.2008 Eibar Eibar 1-3 HT 1-0 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol İS2
25.08.2007 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol 1-1 HT 0-1 Eibar Eibar İS2
17.06.2006 Eibar Eibar 1-1 HT 0-1 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol İS2
22.01.2006 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol 4-0 HT 1-0 Eibar Eibar İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Eibar
2-0
AWAY Racing Ferrol
2.23 xG 0.68
45% Ball Possession 55%
15 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
271 Passes 360
75% Pass Accuracy 81%
27 Box Touches 18
24 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Eibar vs Racing Ferrol
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eibar got the better of Racing Ferrol 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Eibar as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (62%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Eibar had 45% of the ball to Racing Ferrol's 55%, shots finished 15-7, expected goals 2.23 to 0.68.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Racing Ferrol led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Eibar and 1.67 for Racing Ferrol.

What was the final score of Eibar vs Racing Ferrol?

Eibar 2-0 Racing Ferrol in the Spain - 2nd Division on 16/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eibar vs Racing Ferrol?

Before kick-off our model rated a Eibar win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Eibar 45%, draw 31%, Racing Ferrol 25%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Eibar), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Eibar) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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