Racing Santander 2-0 Burgos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 16 Nov 2024

Racing Santander
2-0 HT 2-0
Burgos
📅16/11/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Spain - 2nd Division – 2024/2025

Racing Santander vs Burgos Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.61
Draw
29%
3.8
Away
24%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.07
Over 2.5
50%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.75
No
51%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
4.03
2-3 Goals
39%
1.87
4-5 Goals
25%
3.15
6+ Goals
9%
10.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.03 — our 27% vs market 20.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
2.04
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
10%
15.65
X/1
12%
3.92
X/2
10%
10.65
X/X
11%
5.83
2/1
6%
22.1
2/2
10%
8.0
2/X
7%
16.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
58%
-11.1pp
29%
Draw
23%
+5.7pp
24%
Away Win
19%
+5.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.8pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Racing Santander v Burgos — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Racing Santander EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Burgos EU Bookmakers 22%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +3%
1.78/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.42
-40% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / -11%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
377 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 76%
35.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.3
16.2 Crosses 16.5
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.9

Racing Santander vs Burgos Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Racing Santander
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Burgos
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.34 xG 1.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
371 Passes 245
82% Pass Accuracy 74%
22 Box Touches 18
19 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
10.08.2024 Burgos Burgos 2-1 HT 1-1 Racing Santander Racing Santander HAZ
14.04.2024 Burgos Burgos 2-1 HT 1-1 Racing Santander Racing Santander İS2
22.10.2023 Racing Santander Racing Santander 3-0 HT 1-0 Burgos Burgos İS2
01.04.2023 Burgos Burgos 2-1 HT 1-0 Racing Santander Racing Santander İS2
20.11.2022 Racing Santander Racing Santander 0-1 HT 0-0 Burgos Burgos İS2
30.07.2022 Racing Santander Racing Santander 1-2 HT 1-1 Burgos Burgos HAZ

Racing Santander 2-0 Burgos — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Racing Santander
2-0
AWAY Burgos
0.47 xG 0.42
40% Ball Possession 60%
3 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 7
220 Passes 366
72% Pass Accuracy 83%
13 Box Touches 10
6 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Racing Santander vs Burgos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Racing Santander got the better of Burgos 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Racing Santander as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Racing Santander had 40% of the ball to Burgos's 60%, shots finished 3-9, expected goals 0.47 to 0.42.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Burgos led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Racing Santander and 1.50 for Burgos.

What was the final score of Racing Santander vs Burgos?

Racing Santander 2-0 Burgos in the Spain - 2nd Division on 16/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Racing Santander vs Burgos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Racing Santander win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Racing Santander 47%, draw 29%, Burgos 24%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Racing Santander), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Racing Santander) ✓ BTTS No
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