Levante 1-1 Elche — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 16 Nov 2024

📅16/11/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.25
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
27%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.68
Over 2.5
40%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.85
No
54%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.77
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
18%
4.32
6+ Goals
8%
21.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.77 — our 34% vs market 30.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.37
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.6
X/1
16%
4.91
X/2
13%
6.18
X/X
18%
4.13
2/1
9%
30.0
2/2
8%
4.66
2/X
5%
13.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
41%
+0.9pp
31%
Draw
29%
+2.2pp
27%
Away Win
30%
-3.0pp
60%
Under 2.5
56%
+4.3pp
40%
Over 2.5
44%
-4.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
50%
-4.4pp
54%
BTTS No
50%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Levante EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Elche EU Bookmakers 34%
+11% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -11%
1.51/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.21
+26% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -18%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
281 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 69%
23.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.1
18.6 Crosses 20.9
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Levante
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Elche
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.09 xG 1.03
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
340 Passes 350
81% Pass Accuracy 84%
20 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.08.2024 Elche Elche 0-1 HT 0-1 Levante Levante HAZ
24.03.2024 Levante Levante 3-2 HT 0-1 Elche Elche İS2
30.09.2023 Elche Elche 0-0 HT 0-0 Levante Levante İS2
25.02.2022 Levante Levante 3-0 HT 1-0 Elche Elche İS1
18.09.2021 Elche Elche 1-1 HT 1-0 Levante Levante İS1
24.04.2021 Elche Elche 1-0 HT 1-0 Levante Levante İS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Levante
1-1
AWAY Elche
1.07 xG 0.76
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 9
5 Corners 5
355 Passes 465
84% Pass Accuracy 87%
21 Box Touches 16
14 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Levante vs Elche
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Levante and Elche shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Levante at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%) came in.

On the day, Levante had 44% of the ball to Elche's 56%, shots finished 13-13, expected goals 1.07 to 0.76.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Levante had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Levante and 0.67 for Elche.

What was the final score of Levante vs Elche?

Levante 1-1 Elche in the Spain - 2nd Division on 16/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Levante vs Elche?

Before kick-off our model rated a Levante win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Levante 42%, draw 31%, Elche 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Levante), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Levante) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İS2 More Spain - 2nd Division
16 Nov 2024
16:00 Eibar vs Racing Ferrol Analysis →
18:15 Eldense vs Albacete Analysis →
18:15 CD Castellon vs Mirandes Analysis →
20:30 Racing Santander vs Burgos Analysis →
23:00 Sporting Gijon vs Granada Analysis →