CD Castellon 1-3 Mirandes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 16 Nov 2024

📅16/11/2024 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.75
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
28%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.78
Over 2.5
50%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.9
No
53%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.07
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
26%
3.89
6+ Goals
9%
17.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.32
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
15.15
X/1
16%
3.96
X/2
11%
9.11
X/X
12%
4.78
2/1
8%
25.0
2/2
11%
7.39
2/X
5%
15.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
54%
-4.4pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.3pp
28%
Away Win
21%
+6.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
52%
-2.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
48%
+2.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.5pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Castellon EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Mirandes EU Bookmakers 24%
-21% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -6%
1.77/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.36
-49% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -5%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
350 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 241 · 69%
28.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.1
18.8 Crosses 16.6
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CD Castellon
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Mirandes
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.74 xG 1.23
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
254 Passes 371
67% Pass Accuracy 80%
12 Box Touches 19
21 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 0
07.02.2021 CD Castellon CD Castellon 0-1 HT 0-0 Mirandes Mirandes İS2
28.11.2020 Mirandes Mirandes 1-1 HT 1-0 CD Castellon CD Castellon İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CD Castellon
1-3
AWAY Mirandes
1.36 xG 3.12
69% Ball Possession 31%
14 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 8
7 Corners 7
494 Passes 173
84% Pass Accuracy 65%
32 Box Touches 19
24 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH CD Castellon vs Mirandes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mirandes saw off CD Castellon 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3.

Our pre-match lean was CD Castellon at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, CD Castellon had 69% of the ball to Mirandes's 31%, shots finished 14-17, expected goals 1.36 to 3.12.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Mirandes led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for CD Castellon and 1.00 for Mirandes.

What was the final score of CD Castellon vs Mirandes?

CD Castellon 1-3 Mirandes in the Spain - 2nd Division on 16/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Castellon vs Mirandes?

Before kick-off our model rated a CD Castellon win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split CD Castellon 49%, draw 23%, Mirandes 28%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (CD Castellon) ✗ BTTS No
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