Eldense 2-0 Albacete — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 16 Nov 2024

📅16/11/2024 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.18
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
33%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.82
Over 2.5
48%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.73
No
48%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.29
2-3 Goals
35%
1.8
4-5 Goals
25%
3.66
6+ Goals
11%
14.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.29 — our 29% vs market 25.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.15
1/2
10%
34.5
1/X
7%
12.6
X/1
18%
5.03
X/2
11%
6.7
X/X
12%
4.41
2/1
6%
27.5
2/2
12%
4.74
2/X
10%
12.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-3.8pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.8pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+3.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
51%
+0.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
49%
-0.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
54%
-2.1pp
48%
BTTS No
46%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eldense EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Albacete EU Bookmakers 33%
-7% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -17%
1.52/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.53
+21% / -40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / -30%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
297 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 73%
23.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.5
21.4 Crosses 16.1
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eldense
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Albacete
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.77 xG 0.80
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
298 Passes 308
74% Pass Accuracy 74%
21 Box Touches 18
26 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
21.04.2024 Eldense Eldense 0-1 HT 0-0 Albacete Albacete İS2
19.12.2023 Albacete Albacete 1-1 HT 0-0 Eldense Eldense İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Eldense
2-0
AWAY Albacete
1.51 xG 0.41
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 6
267 Passes 263
74% Pass Accuracy 73%
15 Box Touches 19
14 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Eldense vs Albacete
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eldense got the better of Albacete 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 29% / 33%) promised a tight game; Eldense found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Eldense had 49% of the ball to Albacete's 51%, shots finished 9-13, expected goals 1.51 to 0.41.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Albacete led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Eldense and 1.00 for Albacete.

What was the final score of Eldense vs Albacete?

Eldense 2-0 Albacete in the Spain - 2nd Division on 16/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eldense vs Albacete?

Before kick-off our model rated a Eldense win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Eldense 38%, draw 29%, Albacete 33%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Eldense), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Eldense) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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