Eldense 0-1 Albacete — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 21 Apr 2024

Eldense
0-1 HT 0-0
Albacete
📅21/04/2024 · 🕒17:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✓
Spain - 2nd Division – 2023/2024

Eldense vs Albacete Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.84
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
34%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.64
Over 2.5
47%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.88
No
54%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.62
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
4.49
6+ Goals
8%
23.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.66
1/2
6%
31.5
1/X
5%
13.45
X/1 EV+ ✗
18%
6.14
X/2
17%
4.93
X/X
13%
3.88
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
11%
3.41
2/X
8%
13.2
Value flag · X/1 at 6.14 — our 18% vs market 12.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
32%
+7.9pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.9pp
34%
Away Win
39%
-5.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
57%
-4.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
43%
+4.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.2pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Eldense v Albacete — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eldense EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Albacete EU Bookmakers 43%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -7%
1.14/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.53
+30% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -44%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
256 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 73%
19.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.4
19.7 Crosses 20.3
1.7 Yellow Cards 3.3

Eldense vs Albacete Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eldense
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Albacete
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.86 xG 0.97
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 5
274 Passes 354
71% Pass Accuracy 77%
12 Box Touches 20
20 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
19.12.2023 Albacete Albacete 1-1 HT 0-0 Eldense Eldense İS2

Eldense 0-1 Albacete — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Eldense
0-1
AWAY Albacete
0.68 xG 0.63
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
322 Passes 263
78% Pass Accuracy 72%
30 Box Touches 15
33 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Eldense vs Albacete
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Albacete nicked a narrow win over Eldense 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 27% / 34%) promised a tight game; Albacete found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Eldense had 54% of the ball to Albacete's 46%, shots finished 12-8, expected goals 0.68 to 0.63.

What was the final score of Eldense vs Albacete?

Eldense 0-1 Albacete in the Spain - 2nd Division on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eldense vs Albacete?

Before kick-off our model rated a Eldense win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Eldense 40%, draw 27%, Albacete 34%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Eldense) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Eldense) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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