Espanyol 1-1 FC Andorra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 21 Apr 2024

📅21/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.72
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
22%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.74
Over 2.5
38%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.96
No
60%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.89
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
16%
4.04
6+ Goals
9%
18.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.89 — our 33% vs market 28.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.2
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
9%
14.75
X/1
17%
3.89
X/2
7%
10.1
X/X
10%
4.44
2/1
9%
26.5
2/2
9%
8.4
2/X
8%
15.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
55%
-3.7pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.2pp
22%
Away Win
18%
+3.8pp
62%
Under 2.5
54%
+8.0pp
38%
Over 2.5
46%
-8.0pp
40%
BTTS Yes
47%
-7.3pp
60%
BTTS No
53%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Espanyol EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Andorra EU Bookmakers 21%
+2% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -5%
1.58/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.35
+22% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +34%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
306 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 80%
23.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.1
22.3 Crosses 13.1
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Espanyol
0W-1D-0L
AWAY FC Andorra
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.38 xG 1.45
32% Ball Possession 68%
6 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 6
211 Passes 547
75% Pass Accuracy 90%
9 Box Touches 26
11 Crosses 28
4 Yellow Cards 1
16.12.2023 FC Andorra FC Andorra 1-1 HT 0-0 Espanyol Espanyol İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Espanyol
1-1
AWAY FC Andorra
0.87 xG 0.57
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 2
361 Passes 419
86% Pass Accuracy 85%
18 Box Touches 20
30 Crosses 12
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Espanyol vs FC Andorra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Espanyol and FC Andorra shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Espanyol at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (62%) landed while no to both teams scoring (60%) missed.

On the day, Espanyol had 48% of the ball to FC Andorra's 52%, shots finished 12-12, expected goals 0.87 to 0.57.

What was the final score of Espanyol vs FC Andorra?

Espanyol 1-1 FC Andorra in the Spain - 2nd Division on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Espanyol vs FC Andorra?

Before kick-off our model rated a Espanyol win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Espanyol 51%, draw 27%, FC Andorra 22%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Espanyol), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Espanyol) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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