Eibar 2-0 Alcorcon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 21 Apr 2024

📅21/04/2024 · 🕒17:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.45
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
19%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.68
Over 2.5
43%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.4
No
57%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.7
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.33
6+ Goals
9%
21.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1.78
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
20.6
X/1
21%
3.29
X/2
5%
14.8
X/X
10%
4.97
2/1
7%
29.0
2/2
8%
13.85
2/X
10%
22.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
64%
-9.6pp
26%
Draw
23%
+3.2pp
19%
Away Win
13%
+6.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.3pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.3pp
43%
BTTS Yes
38%
+5.4pp
57%
BTTS No
62%
-5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eibar EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Alcorcon EU Bookmakers 16%
+2% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +11%
1.58/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.64
-2% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +5%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
408 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 70%
23.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.5
24.4 Crosses 13.7
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eibar
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Alcorcon
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.27 xG 1.22
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
347 Passes 223
77% Pass Accuracy 67%
26 Box Touches 16
29 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.12.2023 Alcorcon Alcorcon 1-0 HT 1-0 Eibar Eibar İS2
29.05.2022 Alcorcon Alcorcon 1-0 HT 0-0 Eibar Eibar İS2
13.11.2021 Eibar Eibar 2-1 HT 2-1 Alcorcon Alcorcon İS2
08.03.2014 Alcorcon Alcorcon 0-0 HT 0-0 Eibar Eibar İS2
17.10.2013 Eibar Eibar 1-1 HT 0-1 Alcorcon Alcorcon İSPK
06.10.2013 Eibar Eibar 0-0 HT 0-0 Alcorcon Alcorcon İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Eibar
2-0
AWAY Alcorcon
1.71 xG 0.58
71% Ball Possession 29%
16 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
569 Passes 160
87% Pass Accuracy 62%
22 Box Touches 14
23 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Eibar vs Alcorcon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eibar beat Alcorcon 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Eibar as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Eibar had 71% of the ball to Alcorcon's 29%, shots finished 16-14, expected goals 1.71 to 0.58.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alcorcon led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Eibar and 0.67 for Alcorcon.

What was the final score of Eibar vs Alcorcon?

Eibar 2-0 Alcorcon in the Spain - 2nd Division on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eibar vs Alcorcon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Eibar win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Eibar 55%, draw 26%, Alcorcon 19%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Eibar), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Eibar) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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