Mirandes 2-1 Burgos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 21 Apr 2024

📅21/04/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.46
Draw
32%
2.94
Away
26%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.52
Over 2.5
37%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.06
No
59%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.27
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
16%
5.4
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.77
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.05
X/1
16%
5.0
X/2
9%
5.63
X/X
20%
3.58
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
11%
4.47
2/X
7%
14.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
37%
+4.6pp
33%
Draw
31%
+1.9pp
26%
Away Win
32%
-6.6pp
63%
Under 2.5
62%
+0.8pp
37%
Over 2.5
38%
-0.8pp
41%
BTTS Yes
44%
-3.2pp
59%
BTTS No
56%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mirandes EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Burgos EU Bookmakers 36%
+5% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -11%
1.23/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.15
+15% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -12%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
328 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 75%
19.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.9
18.5 Crosses 19.5
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mirandes
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Burgos
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.90 xG 0.36
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
397 Passes 243
82% Pass Accuracy 72%
21 Box Touches 14
20 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.12.2023 Burgos Burgos 0-0 HT 0-0 Mirandes Mirandes İS2
23.04.2023 Mirandes Mirandes 2-1 HT 0-0 Burgos Burgos İS2
16.10.2022 Burgos Burgos 2-1 HT 1-0 Mirandes Mirandes İS2
10.04.2022 Mirandes Mirandes 3-1 HT 1-1 Burgos Burgos İS2
03.10.2021 Burgos Burgos 1-0 HT 1-0 Mirandes Mirandes İS2
03.08.2019 Burgos Burgos 1-5 HT 1-1 Mirandes Mirandes HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mirandes
2-1
AWAY Burgos
1.61 xG 0.51
37% Ball Possession 63%
11 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
197 Passes 381
71% Pass Accuracy 79%
14 Box Touches 15
22 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Mirandes vs Burgos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mirandes edged past Burgos 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Mirandes as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Mirandes had 37% of the ball to Burgos's 63%, shots finished 11-6, expected goals 1.61 to 0.51.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mirandes had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Mirandes and 1.00 for Burgos.

What was the final score of Mirandes vs Burgos?

Mirandes 2-1 Burgos in the Spain - 2nd Division on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mirandes vs Burgos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mirandes win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Mirandes 42%, draw 33%, Burgos 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mirandes) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mirandes) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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