Levante 3-2 Elche — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 24 Mar 2024

Levante
3-2 HT 0-1
Elche
📅24/03/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Spain - 2nd Division – 2023/2024

Levante vs Elche Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.8
Draw
29%
2.88
Away
32%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.59
Over 2.5
40%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.9
No
56%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.5
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
4.76
6+ Goals
9%
26.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.45
1/2
6%
33.5
1/X
9%
13.0
X/1 EV+ ✗
18%
5.96
X/2
9%
5.23
X/X
12%
3.64
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
17%
3.69
2/X
8%
12.8
Value flag · X/1 at 5.96 — our 18% vs market 12.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
32%
+7.0pp
28%
Draw
31%
-2.9pp
32%
Away Win
36%
-4.0pp
60%
Under 2.5
59%
+1.4pp
40%
Over 2.5
41%
-1.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.4pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Levante v Elche — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Levante EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Elche EU Bookmakers 40%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +8%
1.74/1.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.97
+82% / -52% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +3%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
331 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 78%
21.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
19.8 Crosses 21.9
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.7

Levante vs Elche Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Levante
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Elche
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.95 xG 0.84
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
339 Passes 354
82% Pass Accuracy 84%
20 Box Touches 19
16 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
30.09.2023 Elche Elche 0-0 HT 0-0 Levante Levante İS2
25.02.2022 Levante Levante 3-0 HT 1-0 Elche Elche İS1
18.09.2021 Elche Elche 1-1 HT 1-0 Levante Levante İS1
24.04.2021 Elche Elche 1-0 HT 1-0 Levante Levante İS1
21.11.2020 Levante Levante 1-1 HT 1-0 Elche Elche İS1
07.08.2019 Elche Elche 0-2 HT 0-1 Levante Levante HAZ

Levante 3-2 Elche — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Levante
3-2
AWAY Elche
1.45 xG 1.62
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 3
302 Passes 387
78% Pass Accuracy 84%
22 Box Touches 26
17 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Levante vs Elche
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Levante nicked a narrow win over Elche 3-2. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 28% / 32% — and on the day Levante made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Levante had 46% of the ball to Elche's 54%, shots finished 9-19, expected goals 1.45 to 1.62.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Levante had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Levante and 0.50 for Elche.

What was the final score of Levante vs Elche?

Levante 3-2 Elche in the Spain - 2nd Division on 24/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Levante vs Elche?

Before kick-off our model rated a Levante win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Levante 39%, draw 28%, Elche 32%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Levante) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Levante) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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