Huesca 3-0 Burgos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 24 Mar 2024

📅24/03/2024 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.19
Draw
28%
2.83
Away
24%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.41
Over 2.5
40%
2.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.29
No
58%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
1.96
2-3 Goals
43%
1.85
4-5 Goals
17%
6.82
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
3.34
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
9%
15.05
X/1
12%
4.4
X/2
9%
6.49
X/X
13%
3.22
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
10%
5.74
2/X
6%
15.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
42%
+6.0pp
28%
Draw
32%
-3.4pp
24%
Away Win
26%
-2.6pp
60%
Under 2.5
67%
-7.6pp
40%
Over 2.5
33%
+7.6pp
42%
BTTS Yes
40%
+2.2pp
58%
BTTS No
60%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Huesca EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Burgos EU Bookmakers 30%
+5% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -13%
1.22/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.18
+8% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +2%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
315 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 76%
20.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.1
19.5 Crosses 16.0
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Huesca
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Burgos
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
1.09 xG 1.38
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
278 Passes 275
76% Pass Accuracy 75%
18 Box Touches 18
22 Crosses 19
4 Yellow Cards 2
13.08.2023 Burgos Burgos 1-1 HT 1-1 Huesca Huesca İS2
09.04.2023 Huesca Huesca 2-1 HT 2-0 Burgos Burgos İS2
18.12.2022 Burgos Burgos 1-1 HT 0-1 Huesca Huesca İS2
18.03.2022 Huesca Huesca 1-0 HT 1-0 Burgos Burgos İS2
24.10.2021 Burgos Burgos 3-1 HT 1-1 Huesca Huesca İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Huesca
3-0
AWAY Burgos
41% Ball Possession 59%
16 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 0
4 Corners 3
255 Passes 422
74% Pass Accuracy 84%
POST-MATCH Huesca vs Burgos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Huesca swept aside Burgos 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Huesca as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (58%) landed while under 2.5 goals (60%) missed.

On the day, Huesca had 41% of the ball to Burgos's 59%, shots finished 16-12.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Huesca had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Huesca and 1.20 for Burgos.

What was the final score of Huesca vs Burgos?

Huesca 3-0 Burgos in the Spain - 2nd Division on 24/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Huesca vs Burgos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Huesca win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Huesca 48%, draw 28%, Burgos 24%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Huesca), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Huesca) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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