Racing Santander 2-1 Eldense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 24 Mar 2024

Racing Santander
2-1 HT 1-0
Eldense
📅24/03/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Spain - 2nd Division – 2023/2024

Racing Santander vs Eldense Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.92
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
27%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.68
Over 2.5
42%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.9
No
57%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.76
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.23
6+ Goals
8%
20.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.76 — our 32% vs market 30.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.65
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.7
X/1 EV+ ✗
23%
4.26
X/2
10%
7.83
X/X
13%
4.14
2/1
5%
27.5
2/2
12%
6.27
2/X
5%
14.4
Value flag · X/1 at 4.26 — our 23% vs market 18.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
48%
+0.6pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.2pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+2.6pp
58%
Under 2.5
56%
+2.6pp
42%
Over 2.5
44%
-2.6pp
43%
BTTS Yes
49%
-6.1pp
57%
BTTS No
51%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Racing Santander v Eldense — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Racing Santander EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Eldense EU Bookmakers 28%
-12% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +25% / +25%
1.38/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.02
-21% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +60% / +4%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
340 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 77%
23.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.4
16.8 Crosses 18.2
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.1

Racing Santander vs Eldense Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Racing Santander
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Eldense
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
0.81 xG 1.29
30% Ball Possession 70%
8 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 8
132 Passes 438
55% Pass Accuracy 79%
16 Box Touches 30
10 Crosses 31
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
16.12.2023 Eldense Eldense 3-3 HT 0-2 Racing Santander Racing Santander İS2

Racing Santander 2-1 Eldense — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Racing Santander
2-1
AWAY Eldense
1.71 xG 1.30
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 17
10 Shots on Target 6
11 Corners 6
284 Passes 253
75% Pass Accuracy 75%
27 Box Touches 25
15 Crosses 31
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Racing Santander vs Eldense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Racing Santander edged past Eldense 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Racing Santander as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Racing Santander had 52% of the ball to Eldense's 48%, shots finished 16-17, expected goals 1.71 to 1.30.

What was the final score of Racing Santander vs Eldense?

Racing Santander 2-1 Eldense in the Spain - 2nd Division on 24/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Racing Santander vs Eldense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Racing Santander win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Racing Santander 49%, draw 25%, Eldense 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Racing Santander) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Racing Santander) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İS2 More Spain - 2nd Division
24 Mar 2024
16:00 Amorebieta vs Sporting Gijon Analysis →
18:15 Huesca vs Burgos Analysis →
18:15 Valladolid vs Eibar Analysis →
20:30 Mirandes vs Real Zaragoza Analysis →
20:30 Levante vs Elche Analysis →