Burgos 2-1 Racing Santander — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 10 Aug 2024

📅10/08/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.33
Draw
36%
3.04
Away
33%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.56
Over 2.5
37%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.99
No
58%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.41
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
4.97
6+ Goals
8%
29.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
9%
X/2
13%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
39%
-8.3pp
36%
Draw
30%
+6.1pp
33%
Away Win
31%
+2.2pp
63%
Under 2.5
60%
+2.6pp
37%
Over 2.5
40%
-2.6pp
42%
BTTS Yes
46%
-4.3pp
58%
BTTS No
54%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Burgos EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Racing Santander EU Bookmakers 34%
-54% / -54% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
0.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/0.20
-100% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / +150%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
300 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Burgos
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Racing Santander
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.00 xG 1.34
42% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
245 Passes 371
74% Pass Accuracy 82%
18 Box Touches 22
17 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
14.04.2024 Burgos Burgos 2-1 HT 1-1 Racing Santander Racing Santander İS2
22.10.2023 Racing Santander Racing Santander 3-0 HT 1-0 Burgos Burgos İS2
01.04.2023 Burgos Burgos 2-1 HT 1-0 Racing Santander Racing Santander İS2
20.11.2022 Racing Santander Racing Santander 0-1 HT 0-0 Burgos Burgos İS2
30.07.2022 Racing Santander Racing Santander 1-2 HT 1-1 Burgos Burgos HAZ
08.08.2015 Burgos Burgos 1-0 HT 1-0 Racing Santander Racing Santander HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Burgos
2-1
AWAY Racing Santander
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 7
POST-MATCH Burgos vs Racing Santander
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Burgos squeezed past Racing Santander 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (31% / 36% / 33%) promised a tight game; Burgos found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Burgos had 55% of the ball to Racing Santander's 45%, shots finished 13-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Burgos had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Burgos and 1.00 for Racing Santander.

What was the final score of Burgos vs Racing Santander?

Burgos 2-1 Racing Santander in the Friendlies on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Burgos vs Racing Santander?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Burgos 31%, draw 36%, Racing Santander 33%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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