10/08/2024
·
16:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-1
2nd Score
1-0
Southampton vs Getafe Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.76
— our 30% vs market 21.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
48%
26%
Draw
25%
34%
Away Win
27%
56%
Under 2.5
46%
44%
Over 2.5
54%
46%
BTTS Yes
56%
54%
BTTS No
44%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Southampton v Getafe — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Southampton
EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY
Getafe
EU Bookmakers 31%
+6% /
+6%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+8% /
+8%
1.26/1.06
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.48/0.37
-25%
/
+13%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-61%
/
+150%
59%
Ball Possession
41%
13
Total Shots
9
6
Shots on Target
4
6
Corners
4
396 · 79%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
237 · 69%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
2.4
POST-MATCH
Southampton vs Getafe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Southampton and Getafe played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.
Our pre-match split (40% / 26% / 34%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.
What was the final score of Southampton vs Getafe?
Southampton 0-0 Getafe in the Friendlies on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Southampton vs Getafe?
Before kick-off our model rated a Southampton win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Southampton 40%, draw 26%, Getafe 34%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Southampton) went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Southampton)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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HAZ
More Friendlies
10 Aug 2024