Stuttgart 4-0 Athletic Bilbao — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 10 Aug 2024

Stuttgart
4-0 HT 2-0
Athletic Bilbao
📅10/08/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Friendlies – 2024/2025

Stuttgart vs Athletic Bilbao Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
24%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.59
Over 2.5
56%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.46
No
43%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
5.8
2-3 Goals
37%
2.04
4-5 Goals
26%
2.61
6+ Goals
14%
6.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.18
1/2
9%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.6
X/1
18%
4.48
X/2
7%
9.26
X/X
10%
6.37
2/1
10%
19.7
2/2
7%
5.9
2/X
9%
13.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
53%
-1.9pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.9pp
24%
Away Win
24%
+0.0pp
44%
Under 2.5
35%
+9.1pp
56%
Over 2.5
65%
-9.1pp
57%
BTTS Yes
64%
-7.3pp
43%
BTTS No
36%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Stuttgart v Athletic Bilbao — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stuttgart EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Athletic Bilbao EU Bookmakers 27%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
2.97/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.84/1.83
+64% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +52% / -12%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
381 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 7.0
– Crosses 4.0
– Yellow Cards 1.3

Stuttgart 4-0 Athletic Bilbao — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stuttgart
4-0
AWAY Athletic Bilbao
63% Ball Possession 37%
11 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 0
5 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Stuttgart vs Athletic Bilbao
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stuttgart swept aside Athletic Bilbao 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Stuttgart as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (56%) landed while both teams to score (57%) missed.

On the day, Stuttgart had 63% of the ball to Athletic Bilbao's 37%, shots finished 11-4.

What was the final score of Stuttgart vs Athletic Bilbao?

Stuttgart 4-0 Athletic Bilbao in the Friendlies on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stuttgart vs Athletic Bilbao?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stuttgart win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Stuttgart 51%, draw 25%, Athletic Bilbao 24%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stuttgart), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Stuttgart) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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