Mainz 05 3-1 Montpellier — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 10 Aug 2024

Mainz 05
3-1 HT 2-1
Montpellier
📅10/08/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Friendlies – 2024/2025

Mainz 05 vs Montpellier Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.8
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
26%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.15
Over 2.5
49%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.61
No
47%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.22
2-3 Goals
41%
1.86
4-5 Goals
24%
3.01
6+ Goals
11%
9.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.38
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.75
X/1
15%
4.35
X/2
7%
8.27
X/X
11%
5.52
2/1
9%
21.85
2/2
11%
5.78
2/X
9%
14.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
52%
-4.9pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.2pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+1.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
43%
+8.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
57%
-8.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.3pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Mainz 05 v Montpellier — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mainz 05 EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Montpellier EU Bookmakers 28%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -44% / -44%
2.32/1.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.41
+37% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +14%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
345 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 3.0
POST-MATCH Mainz 05 vs Montpellier
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mainz 05 got the better of Montpellier 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Mainz 05 as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

What was the final score of Mainz 05 vs Montpellier?

Mainz 05 3-1 Montpellier in the Friendlies on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mainz 05 vs Montpellier?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mainz 05 win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Mainz 05 47%, draw 27%, Montpellier 26%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mainz 05), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mainz 05) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HAZ More Friendlies
10 Aug 2024
12:00 Mönchengladbach vs RC Strasbourg Analysis →
13:00 Burgos vs Racing Santander Analysis →
14:30 Ipswich Town vs Nice Analysis →
16:00 Dunkerque vs SV Zulte Waregem Analysis →
16:00 Southampton vs Getafe Analysis →
16:30 Stuttgart vs Athletic Bilbao Analysis →