Racing Ferrol 1-1 Eibar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 4 Feb 2024

📅04/02/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.8
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
33%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.6
Over 2.5
46%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.9
No
48%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.49
2-3 Goals
43%
1.76
4-5 Goals
20%
4.71
6+ Goals
9%
26.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.42
1/2
6%
33.0
1/X
7%
13.2
X/1
15%
5.87
X/2
8%
5.11
X/X
17%
3.69
2/1
6%
34.0
2/2
18%
3.62
2/X
6%
13.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
32%
+5.8pp
29%
Draw
31%
-1.7pp
33%
Away Win
37%
-4.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
59%
-4.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
41%
+4.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+3.0pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Racing Ferrol EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Eibar EU Bookmakers 40%
-1% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -2%
1.14/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.23
+100% / -46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / -35%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
321 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 73%
17.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.4
24.9 Crosses 21.9
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Racing Ferrol
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Eibar
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.45 xG 0.99
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
343 Passes 435
79% Pass Accuracy 83%
15 Box Touches 28
19 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 0
17.09.2023 Eibar Eibar 2-0 HT 1-0 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol İS2
27.01.2008 Eibar Eibar 1-3 HT 1-0 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol İS2
25.08.2007 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol 1-1 HT 0-1 Eibar Eibar İS2
17.06.2006 Eibar Eibar 1-1 HT 0-1 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol İS2
22.01.2006 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol 4-0 HT 1-0 Eibar Eibar İS2
18.06.2005 Eibar Eibar 1-1 HT 1-0 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Racing Ferrol
1-1
AWAY Eibar
1.06 xG 0.86
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 2
362 Passes 314
80% Pass Accuracy 77%
12 Box Touches 6
14 Crosses 11
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Racing Ferrol vs Eibar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Racing Ferrol and Eibar shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 29% / 33% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Racing Ferrol had 53% of the ball to Eibar's 47%, shots finished 10-6, expected goals 1.06 to 0.86.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Racing Ferrol had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Racing Ferrol and 1.00 for Eibar.

What was the final score of Racing Ferrol vs Eibar?

Racing Ferrol 1-1 Eibar in the Spain - 2nd Division on 04/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Racing Ferrol vs Eibar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Racing Ferrol win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Racing Ferrol 38%, draw 29%, Eibar 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Racing Ferrol) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Racing Ferrol) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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