Espanyol 2-1 Levante — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 4 Feb 2024

Espanyol
2-1 HT 1-0
Levante
📅04/02/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Spain - 2nd Division – 2023/2024

Espanyol vs Levante Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.19
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
27%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.67
Over 2.5
42%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.88
No
53%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.71
2-3 Goals
40%
1.76
4-5 Goals
21%
4.26
6+ Goals
9%
21.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.19
1/2
9%
34.0
1/X
6%
13.15
X/1
13%
4.74
X/2
8%
6.37
X/X
18%
4.01
2/1
8%
29.5
2/2
10%
4.84
2/X
7%
13.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
+0.0pp
31%
Draw
29%
+1.8pp
27%
Away Win
29%
-1.8pp
58%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.8pp
42%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.4pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Espanyol v Levante — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Espanyol EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Levante EU Bookmakers 32%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +6%
3.28/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.15
+62% / -53% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +47%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
310 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 74%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.6
15.0 Crosses 12.8
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.9

Espanyol vs Levante Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Espanyol
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Levante
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.48 xG 1.56
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
302 Passes 352
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
22 Box Touches 23
17 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
08.09.2023 Levante Levante 1-4 HT 1-2 Espanyol Espanyol İS2
12.03.2022 Levante Levante 1-1 HT 0-0 Espanyol Espanyol İS1
11.12.2021 Espanyol Espanyol 4-3 HT 1-2 Levante Levante İS1
20.06.2020 Espanyol Espanyol 1-3 HT 1-1 Levante Levante İS1
27.10.2019 Levante Levante 0-1 HT 0-1 Espanyol Espanyol İS1
21.04.2019 Levante Levante 2-2 HT 0-1 Espanyol Espanyol İS1

Espanyol 2-1 Levante — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Espanyol
2-1
AWAY Levante
1.40 xG 0.95
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
308 Passes 459
82% Pass Accuracy 86%
17 Box Touches 19
24 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Espanyol vs Levante
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Espanyol squeezed past Levante 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Espanyol as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Espanyol had 42% of the ball to Levante's 58%, shots finished 9-16, expected goals 1.40 to 0.95.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Espanyol had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Espanyol and 1.67 for Levante.

What was the final score of Espanyol vs Levante?

Espanyol 2-1 Levante in the Spain - 2nd Division on 04/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Espanyol vs Levante?

Before kick-off our model rated a Espanyol win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Espanyol 42%, draw 31%, Levante 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Espanyol) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Espanyol) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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