Real Oviedo 1-1 Eldense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 4 Feb 2024

Real Oviedo
1-1 HT 0-1
Eldense
📅04/02/2024 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Spain - 2nd Division – 2023/2024

Real Oviedo vs Eldense Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.9
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
27%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.51
Over 2.5
39%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.16
No
57%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.23
2-3 Goals
44%
1.78
4-5 Goals
15%
5.44
6+ Goals
8%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.64
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
9%
15.15
X/1
17%
3.95
X/2
9%
7.96
X/X
12%
3.68
2/1
8%
31.5
2/2
13%
7.04
2/X
6%
16.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
49%
-3.4pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.7pp
27%
Away Win
22%
+5.0pp
61%
Under 2.5
62%
-1.0pp
39%
Over 2.5
38%
+1.0pp
43%
BTTS Yes
42%
+1.0pp
57%
BTTS No
58%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Real Oviedo v Eldense — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Oviedo EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Eldense EU Bookmakers 25%
-1% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
1.25/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.67/1.21
-9% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -1%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
378 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 74%
20.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.8
22.3 Crosses 18.4
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.4

Real Oviedo vs Eldense Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Oviedo
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Eldense
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.99 xG 1.54
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
356 Passes 340
79% Pass Accuracy 77%
16 Box Touches 14
11 Crosses 22
0 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
01.10.2023 Eldense Eldense 1-3 HT 0-3 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo İS2

Real Oviedo 1-1 Eldense — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Oviedo
1-1
AWAY Eldense
2.99 xG 0.26
69% Ball Possession 31%
27 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 2
16 Corners 5
481 Passes 178
85% Pass Accuracy 68%
44 Box Touches 12
52 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Real Oviedo vs Eldense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Oviedo and Eldense couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Real Oviedo at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (61%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

On the day, Real Oviedo had 69% of the ball to Eldense's 31%, shots finished 27-7, expected goals 2.99 to 0.26.

What was the final score of Real Oviedo vs Eldense?

Real Oviedo 1-1 Eldense in the Spain - 2nd Division on 04/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Oviedo vs Eldense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Oviedo win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Real Oviedo 46%, draw 27%, Eldense 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Real Oviedo), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Real Oviedo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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