Amorebieta 0-1 Racing Santander — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 4 Feb 2024

📅04/02/2024 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
37%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.68
Over 2.5
45%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.82
No
52%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.73
2-3 Goals
43%
1.76
4-5 Goals
21%
4.23
6+ Goals
8%
21.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.15
1/2
8%
31.0
1/X
6%
13.05
X/1
14%
5.72
X/2
13%
5.23
X/X
15%
3.96
2/1
5%
33.5
2/2
17%
3.65
2/X
6%
12.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
34%
+1.6pp
28%
Draw
30%
-2.0pp
37%
Away Win
36%
+0.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.6pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Amorebieta EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Racing Santander EU Bookmakers 40%
-6% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
0.84/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.39
-4% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -48% / -8%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
305 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 74%
18.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.8
24.4 Crosses 19.8
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Amorebieta
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Racing Santander
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.25 xG 0.83
49% Ball Possession 51%
6 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
414 Passes 262
83% Pass Accuracy 74%
14 Box Touches 13
20 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 2
10.09.2023 Racing Santander Racing Santander 1-0 HT 1-0 Amorebieta Amorebieta İS2
02.04.2021 Amorebieta Amorebieta 1-2 HT 0-0 Racing Santander Racing Santander İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Amorebieta
0-1
AWAY Racing Santander
0.72 xG 1.19
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 0
240 Passes 186
65% Pass Accuracy 62%
17 Box Touches 21
16 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Amorebieta vs Racing Santander
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Racing Santander nicked a narrow win over Amorebieta 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 28% / 37% — and on the day Racing Santander made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Amorebieta had 55% of the ball to Racing Santander's 45%, shots finished 10-8, expected goals 0.72 to 1.19.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Racing Santander led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Amorebieta and 1.50 for Racing Santander.

What was the final score of Amorebieta vs Racing Santander?

Amorebieta 0-1 Racing Santander in the Spain - 2nd Division on 04/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Amorebieta vs Racing Santander?

Before kick-off our model rated an Racing Santander win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Amorebieta 36%, draw 28%, Racing Santander 37%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Racing Santander), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Racing Santander) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İS2 More Spain - 2nd Division
4 Feb 2024
16:00 Racing Ferrol vs Eibar Analysis →
18:15 Real Oviedo vs Eldense Analysis →
20:30 Espanyol vs Levante Analysis →