Casarano 0-2 Renate — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 10 May 2026

Casarano
0-2 HT 0-2
Renate
📅10/05/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Italy - Serie C – 2025/2026

Casarano vs Renate Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.86
Draw
22%
3.35
Away
26%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.82
Over 2.5
48%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.04
2-3 Goals
42%
1.72
4-5 Goals
22%
3.44
6+ Goals
8%
13.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.04 — our 28% vs market 25.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
50%
+2.4pp
22%
Draw
26%
-4.1pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+1.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
51%
+0.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
49%
-0.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.2pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Casarano v Renate — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Casarano EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Renate EU Bookmakers 28%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +18%
1.82/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.02
+26% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +24%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
282 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 239 · 69%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.3

Casarano 0-2 Renate — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Casarano
0-2
AWAY Renate
61% Ball Possession 39%
15 Total Shots 14
8 Shots on Target 4
12 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Casarano vs Renate
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Renate beat Casarano 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Casarano at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Casarano had 61% of the ball to Renate's 39%, shots finished 15-14.

What was the final score of Casarano vs Renate?

Casarano 0-2 Renate in the Italy - Serie C on 10/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Casarano vs Renate?

Before kick-off our model rated a Casarano win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Casarano 52%, draw 22%, Renate 26%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Casarano) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Casarano) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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