Casertana 2-3 Salernitana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 10 May 2026

📅10/05/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.33
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
33%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.62
Over 2.5
44%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.9
No
50%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.43
2-3 Goals
40%
1.7
4-5 Goals
20%
4.31
6+ Goals
10%
23.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
39%
+3.0pp
25%
Draw
29%
-3.2pp
33%
Away Win
32%
+0.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
58%
-1.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
42%
+1.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.8pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Casertana EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Salernitana EU Bookmakers 36%
+5% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.47/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.98
+18% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -41%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
239 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Casertana
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Salernitana
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
05.03.2026 Casertana Casertana 1-0 HT 1-0 Salernitana Salernitana İTC
26.10.2025 Salernitana Salernitana 2-1 HT 0-0 Casertana Casertana İTC
09.05.2015 Salernitana Salernitana 1-1 HT 0-0 Casertana Casertana İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Casertana
2-3
AWAY Salernitana
71% Ball Possession 29%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Casertana vs Salernitana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Salernitana edged past Casertana 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Casertana at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Casertana had 71% of the ball to Salernitana's 29%, shots finished 13-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Casertana and 1.00 for Salernitana.

What was the final score of Casertana vs Salernitana?

Casertana 2-3 Salernitana in the Italy - Serie C on 10/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Casertana vs Salernitana?

Before kick-off our model rated a Casertana win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Casertana 42%, draw 25%, Salernitana 33%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Casertana) ✗ Under 2.5
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